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Intrepid:2026美国供应链与物流市场动态报告(中译版)(34页).pdf

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1、1Supply Chain&LogisticsMarket UpdateApril 2026Los AngelesSan FranciscoChicagoCharlotteNew YorkSupply Chain&Logistics Market UpdateApril 310.478.9000A member of MUFG,a global financial group.Member FINRA/SIPCLos AngelesNew YorkSan FranciscoChicagoCharlotte2Supply Chain&LogisticsMarket UpdateApril 202

2、6Los AngelesSan FranciscoChicagoCharlotteNew YorkI.Key Themes(2-3)II.Supply Chain&Logistics Demand Indicators(4-9)III.Capacity and Rate Indicators(10-12)IV.Rates(13-15)V.Focus on Healthcare Logistics(16-21)VI.Public Comparables and M&A(22-28)VII.Intrepid Supply Chain&Logistics Team(29-33)3Supply Cha

3、in&LogisticsMarket UpdateApril 2026Does M&A Activity Meaningfully Rebound in 2026?Public markets are once again receptive to IPOs,renewing market optimism and expectations of a broader pick up in M&A in 2026Pent up demand has built in the M&A market as many companies have paused pre-launch or mid-pr

4、ocess waiting for volatility to subside With three billion-dollar transactions announced in 2026,the year has already seen more mega transactions than 2025Continued uncertainty persists,with CEO confidence lowering in March despite continued optimism for growth in 2026Significant dry powder inside g

5、lobal private equity,infrastructure,and private credit funds Bid/ask spread between seller and buyer expectations remains but has narrowed significantlyWill Freight Supply/Demand Dynamics Improve the Freight Rate Environment?Truckload rates have continued their rally in Q1,largely due to capacity re

6、strictions stemming from continued English Language Proficiency(“ELP”)regulation and forced closures of CDL schoolsThe spread between contract and spot truckload rates has continued its inversion.This is the second time since 2022 it has turned negative,driving support for single digit percentage in

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1. **M&A市场回暖**:2026年IPO市场复苏,私募股权基金充裕,已出现3笔十亿美元级交易,但买卖双方预期差距仍存。 2. **货运需求与运价**:卡车运价因ELP法规反弹,合同与现货价差转负;温控仓库空置率达20年高位6.9%。 3. **经济与贸易**:Q1实际GDP收缩,消费者信心低迷,但住房建设反弹;美中贸易受关税影响,霍尔木兹海峡 closures冲击全球航运。 4. **医疗物流增长**:市场规模1040亿美元(2025年),10年CAGR预估9%,受老龄化、居家医疗及外包需求驱动,M&A活跃。 5. **估值倍数**:多元化卡车公司EV/EBITDA中位数7.4x,LTL为12.6x,物流板块17.6x,铁路13.8x。
**物流市场如何?** **医疗物流机遇?** **并购趋势如何?**
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