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高力国际:2022年第四季度美国办公楼市场报告(中译版)(15页).pdf

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1、U.S.Research Report|Q4 2022|Office Market Outlook|1U.S.Research Report|Q4 2022 Office Market OutlookU.S.Office Fundamentals Soften as 2022 Closes Stephen Newbold,National Director of Office Research|U.S.The U.S.office vacancy rate stands at 15.7%,an increase of 30 basis points in the fourth quarter.

2、Vacancy is still below the prior peak of 16.3%,seen at the height of the Global Financial Crisis,but will equal this level by mid-2023 if the current pace of vacancy increases is sustained.Net absorption,which measures the change in occupied office inventory,was positive in 43%of the metro office ma

3、rkets tracked in our national survey,down from 52%in the third quarter.National office absorption totaled negative 14.1 million square feet,more than offsetting the modest gains seen earlier in the year resulting in an annual net absorption total of negative 8.6 million square feet.Reflecting this s

4、hift in fortunes,12 metro markets posted negative absorption above 500,000 square feet.Occupancy losses in the fourth quarter were led by New York City(negative 4.3 million square feet),Greater Los Angeles(negative 1.8 million square feet)and Minneapolis(negative 1.5 million square feet).Conversely,

5、positive absorption was led by Baltimore,Orlando and Salt Lake City.There is a record 242.8 million square feet of sublease space available across the U.S.office market,up from 232.8 million square feet in Q3 2022,and significantly higher than the prior cycles peak of 143.3 million square feet seen

6、in Q2 2009.As firms continue to evaluate their post-COVID real estate needs,sublease space will remain a cost competitive,short-term option until there is greater clarity on business direction.Construction activity continues to slow.Currently,100.6 million square feet are underway,which is down 39%f

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根据报告的内容,本文主要概括了2022年美国办公市场的发展趋势和关键数据。 1. 美国办公空置率在2022年四季度上升至15.7%,较三季度增加30个基点。 2. 净吸纳量在四季度转为负值,全年净吸纳量为-8.6百万平方英尺。 3. 2022年美国办公市场共有242.8百万平方英尺的次级租赁空间,创历史新高。 4. 办公建设活动持续放缓,目前在建办公面积为100.6百万平方英尺,较峰值下降39%。 5. 办公室占用率缓慢上升,大多数公司采用混合工作模式。 6. 2022年办公销售量下降,投资者重新评估其办公策略。 7. 经济前景保持低迷,通货膨胀率虽有所下降,但仍然较高。 综上所述,2022年美国办公市场面临挑战,空置率上升,吸纳量转负,次级租赁空间增加,建设活动放缓,占用率缓慢回升,销售量下降,经济前景不明朗。
美国办公室空置率上升的原因是什么? 2022年第四季度美国办公室租金有何变化? 2023年美国办公室市场前景如何?
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