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麦肯锡:如何利用核能应对气候挑战_(中译版)(10页).pdf

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1、March 2023Electric Power&Natural Gas PracticeWhat will it take for nuclear power to meet the climate challenge?Nuclear power can be an important part of the energy transition.Scaling the industry to meet increasing electricity demand will require leaders to mobilize quickly and efficiently.This arti

2、cle is a collaborative effort by Chad Cramer,Bill Lacivita,Jennifer Laws,Muhammad Nabi Malik,and Geoff Olynyk,representing views from McKinseys Electric Power&Natural Gas Practice.The power sector will play a critical role in the net-zero transition.Power generation contributes about 30 percent of g

3、lobal CO2 emissions,primarily from combustion of fossil fuels.Many governments,utilities,and other companies are investing heavily in renewable sources of energy.As rapidly as renewables have scaled up in recent years,its unclear whether wind and solaralong with other emerging solutions,including ca

4、rbon capture,long-duration energy storage,and hydrogencan grow fast enough to meet net-zero targets and projected increasing electricity demand.Nuclear power is a proven technology that can be called upon to play a bigger role in decarbonization.Its ability to scale up to meet rising demand,however,

5、is in question.According to McKinseys Global Energy Perspective 2022,global power consumption could triple by 2050(Exhibit 1).The expected increase in demand will stem largely from a shift away from fossil fuels toward electrification of end uses,including transportation(electric vehicles),building

6、operations(electrifying heat),and industrial processes(low-carbon steelmaking).The resulting need for new low-carbon and zero-carbon generation will be unprecedented in the history of the global electrical grid.Exhibit 1Web Exhibit of Global electricity demand,thousands of terawatt hours1Including d

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本文讨论了核能在应对气候变化挑战中的作用,并提出了核能行业面临的挑战和解决方案。主要内容包括: 1. 核能是实现净零排放的关键组成部分,预计到2050年全球电力需求将增长三倍,需要新增400-800吉瓦的核能发电能力来满足可调度电源的需求。 2. 核能行业面临的主要挑战包括:反应堆设计的复杂性和变化、有限的工业基础、熟练劳动力的稀缺性、建设执行能力的限制、合作伙伴和建设合同的不完善、监管要求的变化和复杂性。 3. 新一代反应堆技术,如小型模块化反应堆(SMR)和第四代反应堆(Gen-IV),有望降低成本、缩短建设时间和提高安全性。 4. 为实现核能的大规模扩张,行业利益相关者应考虑采取八项关键行动,包括加强监管合作、建立工业基础、培养人才、改进供应链、创新融资模式、优化建设合同、提高项目执行效率和加强国际合作。
核能如何助力实现净零排放? 核能发展面临哪些主要挑战? 新一代核反应堆技术有何优势?
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