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牛津经济研究院:2026印度尼西亚农业食品行业的经济影响研究报告(英文版)(17页).pdf

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1、APRIL 2026THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE AGRI-FOOD SECTOR IN INDONESIA2026 3APRIL 2026ABOUT OXFORD ECONOMICS Oxford Economics was founded in 1981 as a commercial venture with Oxford Universitys business college to provide economic forecasting and modelling toUK companies and financial institutions expan

2、ding abroad.Since then,we have become one of the worlds foremost independent global advisory firms,providing reports,forecasts,and analytical tools on more than 200 countries,100industries,and 8,000 cities and regions.Our best-in-class global economic and industry models and analytical tools give us

3、 an unparalleled ability to forecast external market trends andassess their economic,social,and business impact.Headquartered in Oxford,England,with regional centres in New York,London,Frankfurt,and Singapore,OxfordEconomics has offices across the globe in Belfast,Boston,Cape Town,Chicago,Dubai,Dubl

4、in,Hong Kong,Los Angeles,Mexico City,Milan,Paris,Philadelphia,Stockholm,Sydney,Tokyo,and Toronto.We employ over 750 staff,including more than 450professional economists,industry experts,and business editorsone of the largest teams of macroeconomists and thought leadership specialists.Our global team

5、 is highly skilled in a full range of research techniques and thought leadership capabilities from econometric modelling,scenario framing,and economic impact analysis to market surveys,case studies,expert panels,and web analytics.Oxford Economics is a key adviser to corporate,financial,and governmen

6、t decision-makers and thought leaders.Our worldwide client base now comprises over 2,500 international organisations,including leading multinational companies and financial institutions;key government bodies and trade associations;and top universities,consultancies,and think tanks.CONTENTSThe Econom

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1. **经济贡献**:2025年印尼农食部门贡献GDP 4482亿美元(占全国近1/3),支持683万就业(占全国近1/2),税收502亿美元。 2. **细分领域**: - 农业生产:GDP 2172亿美元,就业404万; - 食品制造:GDP 1520亿美元,就业103万; - 食品分销:GDP 790亿美元,就业176万。 3. **全球挑战**:美国关税战可能导致印尼农食出口减少30%,全球GDP下降2.3%(2025-2030)。 4. **政策建议**: - 短期:简化边境程序、加强物流与财政支持; - 长期:吸引高质量投资、升级基础设施、利用RCEP等区域协定拓展市场。 5. **战略机遇**:深化与GCC合作(占出口17%),推动中小企业与跨国企业联动,提升全球价值链地位。
农业贡献有多大? 贸易冲击如何影响? 如何提升竞争力?
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