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德勤:2025-2026年交通运输发展趋势:美国交通运输基础设施现代化建设研究报告(中译版)(33页).pdf

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1、Transportation trends 20252026:Modernizing Americas transportation infrastructure Five key trends shaping the US transportation system,from AI and autonomous vehicles to funding,cybersecurity,and infrastructure modernizationDeloitte Center for Government Insights1Transportation trends 20252026:Moder

2、nizing Americas transportation infrastructureTable of contents02.Introduction03.Five trends shaping transportation in 2025202605.Trend 1:Diversifying transportation funding models09.Trend 2:Scaling AI in public transportation14.Trend 3:The promise of autonomy18.Trend 4:Making transportation cybersec

3、ure21.Trend 5:Future-proofing transportation infrastructure24.Looking ahead25.Endnotes2Transportation trends 20252026:Modernizing Americas transportation infrastructureFor more than a century,Americas trans-portation system has carried people,goods,and ideas across the nation,stitching together comm

4、unities and regional economies.Today,however,that legacy could be at risk.Deferred maintenance,growing cyber vulnerabil-ities,antiquated technology,and more frequent and intense weather events are impacting an aging network of roads,bridges,rail,runways,and tran-sit lines.The American Society of Civ

5、il Engineers 2025 Infrastructure Report Card assigned most of the nations surface transportation and avia-tion assets grades ranging from“fair”to“poor,”signaling mounting safety and reliability concerns.1 An upcoming series of major international and national events will further strain the nations t

6、rans-portation network.In June 2026,11 American cities will welcome more than 5 million fans for the FIFA Football World Cup.2 Shortly thereafter,nation-wide celebrations for the 250th anniversary of the signing of the Declaration of Independence will include a variety of public events.3 Two years l

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1. **资金模式多元化**:联邦汽油税收入预计2035年降至150亿美元(较2025年下降39%),41州征收电动车注册费,纽约 congestion pricing 首创收入2.157亿美元。 2. **AI规模化应用**:70%美国城市用AI管理交通,纽约地铁AI检测轨道缺陷准确率92%,加州计划用AI实时预警路况。 3. **自动驾驶商业化**:Waymo在4城每周超25万次付费行程,德州21英里自动驾驶卡车走廊试点,先进空中交通市场或达1150亿美元(2035年)。 4. **网络安全挑战**:2024年交通领域钓鱼攻击增175%,TSA拟强化OT安全标准,全球网络安全人才缺口480万。 5. **基础设施韧性升级**:39%美国主要道路状况差,缅因州3D打印桥梁技术寿命超百年,数字孪生技术47%城市用于交通规划。
**AI如何改变交通?** **电动车如何影响税收?** **自动驾驶安全吗?**
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