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全球风险研究所:2026年加拿大金融服务风险展望调查报告(中译版)(17页).pdf

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1、CANADIAN FINANCIAL SERVICES RISK OUTLOOK SURVEY2026CONTENTSINTRODUCTION 3.THE RISK ENVIRONMENT FACING CANADAS FINANCIAL SECTOR 4.A CLOSER LOOK AT THE TOP RISKS 10DEEP DIVES ON THE TOP FIVE RISKS 11CONCLUSION 173INTRODUCTIONThe Global Risk Institutes tenth annual Canadian Financial Services Risk Outl

2、ook Survey 2026 captures the perspectives of chief risk officers and other senior risk leaders across Canadas financial sector offering a comprehensive perspective on the risks they face over the short-and medium-term,and their views on their organizational readiness.Participants included member org

3、anizations across five distinct segments:Banking&Investment Services Insurance Government&Regulators Pensions and Specialized Financing&Lending Geopolitical/policy risk,macroeconomic risk,and technology/cyber risk consistently rank within the top concerns across all segments and time horizons.Althou

4、gh most respondents expect the risk environment to remain stable or improve modestly over both one-and five-year horizons,none anticipate significant improvement(Figure 2).Despite this cautious outlook,confidence in resilience is strong,with 85%judging both their organization and the Canadian financ

5、ial sector as strong or better,though confidence is notably higher at the organizational level than across the sector as a whole(Figure 5).Taken together,these findings suggest that the central challenge facing risk leaders is less about identifying the next risk and more about governing organizatio

6、ns strategically through an environment where risks are increasingly interdependent,and where volatility and uncertainty have become defining conditions rather than exceptions.“Were dealing with more uncertainty than weve seen in a long time,and its coming from multiple directions at once.”Key Takea

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1. **核心风险**:地缘政治/政策风险、宏观经济风险、技术/网络风险为加拿大金融业三大核心风险,短期(1年)和中期(5年)均位列前五。 2. **短期谨慎 vs 中期乐观**:85%受访者认为自身及加拿大金融体系具备强韧性,但短期(1年)预期风险环境稳定或小幅改善,无人预期显著改善;中期(5年)信心更强。 3. **风险管理能力差异**:机构对金融市场、技术/网络风险的管理能力较强,但对第三方/外包风险的管理能力最弱(图4)。 4. **关键风险细分**: - 地缘政治:贸易紧张(95%)、政治不稳定(64%); - 宏观经济:GDP增长放缓(82%)、就业不稳定(70%); - 技术/网络:外部网络攻击(92%)、AI风险(57%)。 5. **结论**:风险环境转向持续互联与复杂性,需强化治理、情景规划和压力测试,而非单纯预测。
**金融风险新趋势?** **科技如何影响风控?** **韧性如何构建?**
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