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波士顿咨询(BCG):2026财年前三季度(9M)印度银行业更新报告(英文版)(48页).pdf

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1、FEBRUARY 2026Banking Sector Roundup 9M FY261Copyright 2024 by Boston Consulting Group.All rights reserved.PSU(12 banks)Private-New(10 banks)Private-Old(10 banks)Glossary:Classification of Indian banks used in this documentSmall Finance(5 banks)Analysis across the deck has been made based on 37 Banks

2、:12 PSBs,10 Private-New,10 Private-Old Banks and 5 Small Finance Banks2Copyright 2024 by Boston Consulting Group.All rights reserved.9M FY26 results:Banking industry snapshot1.Retail loans are gross advances and include home loans,auto loans,personal loans,and other retail loans.2.MSME are gross adv

3、ances and includes SME,LAP,Business Banking,and CV/CE loansSource:Capitaline,Financial Results,Investor Presentation,BCG analysis241.0L Crore10%YoYTotal Deposits 36.2L Crore17%YoYMSME2 Advances70.3L Crore13%YoYRetail Advances1202.4L Crore13%YoYTotal Net Advances 19.5L Crore7%YoYTotal Income6.5L Cror

4、e3%YoYNet Interest Income2.9L Crore22%YoYNon-Interest Income2.9L Crore6%YoYPATBusinessKey RatiosProfitability1.9%54 bps YoYGNPA(%)1.3%6 bps YoYROA35.9%48 bps YoYCASA Ratio3.0%21 bps YoYNIM(%)48.3%0.4 bps YoYCost-Income3Copyright 2024 by Boston Consulting Group.All rights reserved.Macro TrendsSummary

5、 Snapshot(I/II)Banks vs NBFCs Economic growth:GDP Growth for Q3 FY26 estimated at 7%vs.6.2%for Q3 FY25.FY26 GDP projected to grow between 6.57.5%Economic landscape exhibits mixed trendsoThe IIP rose by 7%YoY,with its strongest expansion in more than two years in December 2025oThe growth is driven by

6、 strong performance of manufacturing,mining&electricity sectors Profitability:Profitability softened in 9M FY26,with ROA declining 6 bps from 1.39%in 9M FY25 to 1.33%oAdvances growth(13%)outpaced PAT growth(6%)oNIMs contracted 21 bps to 3.0%in 9M FY26 vs 9M FY25 on account of faster reduction in len

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1. **行业表现**:9M FY26银行业总存款₹241L crore(+10% YoY),总贷款₹36.2L crore(+17% YoY),净利润₹6.5L crore(+3% YoY),净息收入₹2.9L crore(+22% YoY)。 2. **资产质量**:GNPA比率降至1.9%(-54bps YoY),信贷成本微升至0.5%(+6bps YoY),PSB拨备覆盖率超90%。 3. **业务增长**:零售贷款+13%,MSME贷款+17%,CASA比率35.9%(-48bps YoY),存贷比达84%(十年最高)。 4. **数字化**:UPI交易量+32% YoY,信用卡交易量+26%,借记卡交易量-22%。 5. **政策影响**:RBI降息125bps并注入流动性,但存款利率粘性导致NIM压缩21bps至3.0%。
银行利润为何放缓? 数字支付增长动力何在? 银行资产质量如何?
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