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美国农业部:2026土耳其柑橘产业分析报告(英文版)(24页).pdf

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1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:January 20,2026 Report Number:TU2025-0067 Report Name:Citrus Annual Country:Turkiye Post:Ankara Report

2、 Category:Citrus Prepared By:FAS Staff Approved By:Rishan Chaudhry Report Highlights:Trkiyes citrus sector is facing significant challenges in the 2025/26 marketing year,with orange and lemon production sharply reduced due to severe frost and extreme weather,while tangerine output is expected to reb

3、ound thanks to resilient early varieties.High inflation and volatile farmgate prices have led to increased retail prices and decreased domestic consumption across all major citrus fruits.Export volumes for oranges and lemons are projected to decline,while tangerine exports are set to surge,particula

4、rly to Russia,Iraq,and Ukraine.The sector continues to grapple with pest management issues,stricter residue testing in key export markets,and new government policies restricting fruit tree planting on flat land,all of which threaten future production.Strategic adaptation,investment in storage and lo

5、gistics,and targeted policy support are urgently needed to maintain Trkiyes competitiveness and resilience in the global citrus market.Oranges Production Marketing Year(MY)2025/26 orange production is forecast to decrease 15 percent to around 1.3 MMT due to severe frost which occurred in spring 2025

6、.The severe frost impacted 36 provinces and led to significant losses in fruit production.The Turkish Statistical Institute(TurkSTAT)has released its agricultural production estimate for 2025,revealing a significant decline in output due to adverse weather conditions last year.In MY 2025/26 there wa

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1. **生产挑战**:2025/26年土耳其柑橘产业受霜冻和极端天气影响,橙子产量预计降至130万吨(同比降15%),柠檬产量降至110万吨(降35%),而柑橘产量预计增至219万吨(增10%)。 2. **消费与价格**:高通胀导致国内消费下降,橙子消费预计降至110万吨(降18%),柠檬消费降至75.4万吨(降42%);零售价格飙升,如柠檬价格达120-150里拉/公斤。 3. **贸易动态**:橙子和柠檬出口量预计分别降至13万吨和35万吨,柑橘出口量预计增至100万吨(增60%),主要出口至俄罗斯、伊拉克和乌克兰。 4. **政策与问题**:新政策限制平地种植果树,影响未来生产;地中海实蝇和农药残留问题持续,出口面临严格检测。
**柑霜减产几何?** **出口激增何因?** **政策如何影响?**
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