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欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF):2025年全球气候状况核心数据报告(英文版)(39页).pdf

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1、2025|APublished January 14th 2026 updated January 28th 2026(figures 3 and 9 and the associated text have been updated to reflect full availability of global datasets for 2025).DOI:https:/doi.org/10.24381/b3nm-p354GCH editorial team(ECMWF):Lead editor and coordination:Francesca GuglielmoCo-authors:Ju

2、lien Nicolas,Freja Vamborg,Rebecca Emerton,Adrian Simmons,Samantha BurgessCopy editing:Chelsea SnellData visualization:Anna LombardiOther Contributors:Michael Buchwitz (University of Bremen),Mark Parrington(ECMWF)Communications(ECMWF):Isabelle Boscaro-Clarke,Elisabeth Mittelbach,Eva Remete,Maximilia

3、n Lingen,Nuria Lopez,Rafael CerecedaOther organisations:Blossom.it,Eau de Web,Greenhouse CommunicationsECMWF Communication Section Copernicus TeamEuropean Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts,ECMWF Robert-Schuman-Platz,53175 Bonn,Germany copernicus-pressecmwf.int This Global Climate Highlights(

4、GCH)report from the Copernicus Climate Change Service(C3S)provides a brief synopsis of the state of global climate in 2025,mainly based on data from the ERA5 global atmospheric reanalysis produced by the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts(ECMWF).The Global Climate Highlights summaris

5、es the state of global air temperature,global sea surface temperature and sea ice in both polar regions.This report also assesses current global average temperatures relative to the 1.5C limit set by the Paris Agreement,adopted by the Conference of the Parties in 2015.ERA5 is one of six internationa

6、l datasets used to track global average temperature.In addition to this report,which includes data from the Japanese Reanalysis for Three Quarters of a Century(JRA-3Q),further 2025 global temperature updates will be released by the UK Met Office,NASA,NOAA,Berkeley Earth and the World Meteorological

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1. **2025年全球气候状况**:2025年为有记录以来第三暖年,全球平均地表气温14.97°C,较1850-1900年(工业化前)水平高1.47°C,较1991-2020年平均值高0.59°C。 2. **极端高温持续**:2023-2025年三年平均气温首次突破1.5°C(ERA5数据),其中2024年为最暖年(1.52°C),2025年北极和南极气温均创历史新高。 3. **海洋温度与海冰**:全球海表温度(60°S-60°N)20.73°C,为第三高;2025年2月全球海冰面积达卫星观测以来最低。 4. **极端事件频发**:洪水、热浪、野火等灾害加剧,50%陆地地区经历强热应激天数增加,欧洲、北美等地野火排放量创新高。 5. **长期趋势与巴黎协定**:当前全球升温约1.4°C,若按近30年速率持续,2030年前可能突破1.5°C阈值。
**2025气候有多热?** **极端事件频发为何?** **1.5°C目标还远吗?**
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