1、 2026 Year-Ahead Outlook Macro,Equities,Retail,Funds,Agency RMBS,Non-Agency RMBS,CMBS,and CLO Insights Authors Tajinder Dhillon Tajinder.D Detlef Glow Detlef.G Dewi John Dewi.J Luke Lu Luke.L Robin Marshall Robin.M Jharonne Martis Jharonne.M Plamen Mitkov Plamen.M Irene Shi Irene.S 2026 Year-Ahead O
2、utlook 2 Contents Executive Summary.3 Section 1 Macro Outlook:Another year of living dangerously or are fears of a crash greatly exaggerated?.5 Author:Robin Marshall,Director,Global Investment Research,FTSE Russell Section 2 Equities Outlook:Strong Fundamentals,Signs of Rotation,and Hyperscaler AI i
3、n Focus.12 Author:Tajinder Dhillon,CFA,Head of Earnings and Equity Research Section 3 Retail Outlook:From Promotions to Experiences:Key Drivers of 2026 Consumer Behavior.21 Author:Jharonne Martis,Head of Consumer Research Section 4 Funds Outlook:Loving the Greenback,but Skittish on US Equities.27 Au
4、thors:Dewi John,Head of Research,LSEG Lipper,Europe Detlef Glow,Head of Lipper ETF Research Section 5 Agency RMBS Outlook:Prepayment Dynamics and Federal Policy Considerations.29 Author:Irene Shi,Senior Manager,Agency RMBS Research and Modeling Section 6 Non-Agency RMBS Outlook:Issuance,Prepayments
5、and Delinquencies .40 Author:Plamen Mitkov,Head of Global RMBS Quantitative Research Section 7 CMBS Outlook:Credit Transparency with Fundamentals Finally Bottoming Out?.44 Author:Luke Lu,Head of Credit Research and Quantitative Modelling Section 8 CLO Outlook:Another Robust Year with Continued Credi
6、t Dispersion .55 Author:Luke Lu,Head of Credit Research and Quantitative Modelling 2026 Year-Ahead Outlook 3 Executive Summary 1.Macro Although there remain global risks,including geo-political,outright recession risks in the US and globally appear relatively low in 2026,and compelling evidence of b
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