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仲量联行:2022年印度住宅负担能力指数研究报告(英文版)(12页).pdf

上传人: 白**** 编号:111356 2022-12-30 12页 1.24MB

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1、jll.co.inIndia|2022Home Purchase Affordability IndexHome Purchase Affordability Index 2022|230,18333,65637,26134,98238,53339,43036,51128,82827,34610,74314,37221,75028,23019,62533,46346,74651,82553,12156,658010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,000Q12018Q22018Q32018Q42018Q12019Q22019Q32019Q42019Q12020Q22

2、020Q32020Q42020Q12021Q22021Q32021Q42021Q12022Q22022Q32022Number of UnitsUnits SoldAverage quarterly salesbetween 2018&2021Indias housing markets have been on an unprecedented upcycle post the first COVID wave,barring the period of Q2 2021 which coincided with the worst pandemic surge.Despite the pan

3、demic,the fundamentals of affordability synergy with historic lows in interest rates and price stagnancy in primary markets amounting to a time correction all were cues for a recovery to play out.The positive push,came from the unlikeliest of sources with the pandemic completely changing the dynamic

4、s around home ownership with homes becoming a safe haven and spurring a largely unforecasted market recovery.The recovery trend since then has resulted in quarterly sales rising to their historic peaks with sustained buying activity supported by most demand drivers still intact to a great extent.We

5、are now entering the territory of a rising interest rate cycle,driven by global macroeconomic headwinds.At the same time,residential markets have displayed price growth of varying strengths across cities with robust demand and cost-push inflation from rising input material prices playing their respe

6、ctive parts.While affordability is likely to be impacted,the momentum-inhibitor looks to be a temporary one with Indias focus on economic growth and likely easing of inflationary pressures expected to reverse the current interest rate growth.While affordability is decidedly weakening,we are still so

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本文主要讨论了印度住宅市场的可负担性指数(HPAI)趋势。根据JLL的研究,2021年印度住宅市场的可负担性达到了历史最高水平,主要得益于低利率、有吸引力的房价和家庭收入的恢复。然而,2022年由于通货膨胀压力,开发商将上涨的投入成本转嫁给买家,需求支持价格上涨,而RBI的再融资率上调导致房贷成本上升,这些因素都削弱了可负担性。尽管如此,预计2022年的可负担性水平仍将保持相当有吸引力,仅次于2021年的最高水平。此外,文章还指出,住宅市场的可负担性是购房决策的一个必要但不充分条件,因为买家还会考虑其他因素,如宏观经济参数和就业市场前景。
印度住宅市场2022年如何? 哪些因素影响印度住宅市场? 印度住宅市场未来趋势如何?
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