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国际能源署(IEA):如何在2023年避免欧盟天然气短缺(中译版)(38页).pdf

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1、How to Avoid Gas Shortages in the European Union in 2023A practical set of actions to close a potential supply-demand gapINTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY The IEA examines the full spectrum of energy issues including oil,gas and coal supply and demand,renewable energy technologies,electricity markets,ener

2、gy efficiency,access to energy,demand side management and much more.Through its work,the IEA advocates policies that will enhance the reliability,affordability and sustainability of energy in its 31 member countries,11 association countries and beyond.This publication and any map included herein are

3、 without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory,to the delimitation of international frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory,city or area.Source:IEA.International Energy Agency Website:www.iea.org IEA member countries:Australia Austria Belgium Canada Czech Rep

4、ublic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Japan Korea Lithuania Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak republic Spain Sweden Switzerland Republic of Trkiye United Kingdom United States The European Commission also participates in the w

5、ork of the IEA IEA association countries:Argentina Brazil China Egypt India Indonesia Morocco Singapore South Africa Thailand Ukraine How to Avoid Gas Shortages in the European Union in 2023 Summary PAGE|3 I EA.CC BY 4.0.Summary European and global natural gas markets are not yet out of the danger c

6、reated by Russias cuts to pipeline deliveries of gas.Conditions have been turbulent,prices have been extremely volatile,many households and gas-intensive sectors have suffered as have many gas-importing countries worldwide.Overall gas demand in the European Union(EU)is set to fall by around 10%in 20

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本文主要讨论了2023年欧盟如何避免天然气短缺的问题。文章指出,由于俄罗斯削减了对欧盟的管道天然气供应,欧盟和全球天然气市场面临巨大压力。2022年,欧盟天然气需求预计将下降约10%,即减少约500亿立方米。然而,2023年可能面临更大的挑战,俄罗斯供应可能进一步减少,液化天然气(LNG)供应紧张,以及不稳定的天气条件。 文章预测,如果俄罗斯完全停止向欧盟供应管道天然气,而中国LNG需求恢复到2021年水平,欧盟将面临570亿立方米的供应缺口。目前,欧盟已经采取了一些措施来弥补这一缺口,如提高能源效率、加快可再生能源部署、加速电热转换、鼓励消费者改变行为等。这些措施预计将减少约300亿立方米的天然气需求。 然而,为了完全弥补供应缺口,还需要采取额外的短期政策行动,如提高天然气储存水平,加强能源外交,以及增加非俄罗斯天然气供应等。这些措施将有助于确保欧盟在2023年保持天然气供应安全,避免对消费者和国际市场造成过大的压力。
欧洲如何避免2023年天然气短缺? 2023年欧洲天然气供需缺口有多大? 欧洲如何通过提高能效避免天然气短缺?
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