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德勤(Deloitte):2030年加拿大繁荣愿景(英文版)(80页).pdf

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1、01CATALYSTCANADA AT 2030 FUTURE OF CANADA CENTREA vision for a thriving Canada in 2030The Future of Canada Centre facilitates an exploration of new ideas,viewpoints,and insights about our countrys most important national issues,with the aim of helping propel Canada into a new age of growth and compe

2、titiveness.It houses a team of Deloittes most innovative thinkers and experienced leaders,who are valued influencers in their respective fields.To view this document in single page view or to enable single page scrolling in Adobe Acrobat Reader choose View Page Display,and select any of the followin

3、g page layouts:Single Page View:Displays one page at a time,with no portion on other pages visible.Enable Scrolling:Displays pages in a continuous vertical column that is one page wide.CONTENTS Introduction04 The case for not returning to normal:A nation stuck in neutral10 A NEW OUTLOOK FOR CANADA:T

4、HRIVE 203018 Foundations of the vision20 Impact on the economy and society22 THREE KEYS TO A THRIVING NATION32 1.People:Enable a diverse and future-ready workforce34 2.Industry:Create the conditions for the emergence ofglobal champions46 3.Societal systems:Invest in much-needed transformation58 Unpr

5、ecedented times call for unprecedented approaches6802 /FUTURE OF CANADA CENTRE/CATALYSTStep back for a moment to the beginning of the year and remember the excitement and promise of the new decade that lay just ahead of us.In those few short minutes before ringing in the New Year,we had no idea how

6、profoundly our world was about to change.But change it did.Seemingly overnight,a deadly virus swept the globe,taking lives,destroying economies,disrupting governments and businesses,and dramatically changingperhaps foreverhow we work and the way we live.The way in which we reacted tested our resilie

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本文主要讨论了加拿大在2030年的未来前景。文章指出,如果加拿大回到疫情前的路径,GDP增长将放缓至每年1.7%,远低于过去十年的平均增长率2.2%和2008-09年大衰退前的平均增长率3.2%。这种缓慢的增长是由长期趋势限制加拿大生产率所驱动的:劳动力增长放缓,资本存量增长缓慢,以及创新不足。 文章提出,为了实现更好的未来,加拿大必须关注三个领域:人民、产业和社会系统。通过消除面临进入或提升工作场所的边缘化群体(包括妇女、老年人、残疾人和土著及种族化人群)的障碍,加拿大可以增加劳动力170万人。这将提高工作时间和整体劳动力参与率,从而将平均实际GDP增长率提高0.7-0.8%,将经济增长趋势提高50%。 在产业方面,加拿大正在从工业基础向更高价值的服务业(如生命科学、医疗保健和技术)转变,但在Thrive 2030预测中,这一转变的速度将加快。 在Thrive 2030预测下,加拿大的平均年GDP增长率将从1.7%上升到2.7%,在2030年将增加超过3500亿加元(增长10.4%)。这相当于人均年收入增加4900加元,生活质量显著提高。
加拿大如何通过经济包容和移民增加劳动力? 加拿大如何为向知识和服务型经济转变做好准备? 加拿大如何通过投资三大领域实现2030年的繁荣?
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