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第一太平戴维斯(Savills):2025年欧洲零售地产市场报告(英文版)(31页).pdf

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1、MARKETCONTENTSp/26p/12p/22p/32p/41p/36p/06The flight to affordabilityDrivers of value growth Page 26Removing the stigma Page 27 Aldi and Lidl Page 28 Diversification and urban penetration Page 29The next phase:smart discounting Page 29The people divide:how demographics will likely split retail marke

2、tsMigration and diversity Page 13Income growth Page 14 Ageing population Page 15Intergenerational wealth transfer Page 16Urban concentration and rural depopulation Page 17Rising single-person households Page18 Shrinking working-age population Page 19Retails new demographic reality Page 19 Blurred li

3、nes evolution of the retail mixDrivers for change Page 22Retail Parks Page 23Shopping Centres&High Streets Page 24 Brands increasingly look to hybrid formats Page 25Prime vs Secondary divide occupational market Pipeline paralysis gives way to optimisation Page 32Tight supply supports occupier resili

4、ence Page 33What are the future opportunity markets in Europe for expansive global brands?Identifying the growth concepts of the future Page 44New international entrants in Europes key citiesAspirational,premium fashion retains top spot Page 37Trade tensions reshape global retail expansion Page 40Se

5、tting the scene in EuropeA fragile recovery Page 07 Elevated savings and a gradual return to consumer spending Page 08Retail sales Page 10p/52p/56Investment:Retail capital market regains its footingRetail investment slowly building mo-mentum Page 52 Yields stability,giving way to compression Page 54

6、Where is the retail journey headed next?E U R O P E A N R E T A I L0203ContentsContentsKEY TAKEAWAYSRETAIL FORMATS BLUR AND EVOLVEOmnichannel strategies and hybrid store concepts are redefining the retail mix,with brands focusing on experience and flexibility.VALUE RETAIL TAKES CENTRE STAGEDiscounte

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1. **经济与消费复苏**:欧洲经济脆弱复苏,2025年欧元区GDP增长1.3%,消费者储蓄率仍高(14.9%),零售销售增长稳定在2%,预计2030年前年均增长1.8%。 2. **人口结构变化**:人口老龄化加剧(2050年欧盟中位年龄升至48.2岁),单户家庭增加(占30%),移民支撑消费,推动健康、休闲及折扣零售需求。 3. **零售业态分化**:价值零售崛起(2019-2024年销售额增长36%),折扣商如Aldi、Lidl扩张至城市;高端与折扣两端增长,中间市场萎缩。 4. **资产市场分化**:核心地段空置率下降(如英国零售公园低于5%),租金上涨(高端地段涨14%),次级资产面临挑战,开发放缓(2019年后年均增长仅0.4%-2%)。 5. **国际品牌扩张**:时尚品牌主导新进入市场(占41%),阿姆斯特丹等中小城市吸引力上升,全球资本投入零售业达3010亿英镑。
**零售未来趋势?** **折扣店崛起?** **人口如何影响消费?**
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