使用假设分析预测业务实践变化.pdf

1、Forecast business practice changes with what-if analysisNikol VladinskaTechnical Program ManagerSUS05RNikol VladinskaTechnical Program Managerhttps:/ me aboutAI in Microsoft Sustainability ManagerAgendaWhat-if analysis overviewDemoSupported scenariosQ&AWhat-if analysis is a custom AI-powered forecas

2、ting tool tailored to the carbon data model in MSM.Fifteen customizable scenariosWith customizable scenarios across Scopes 1,2,and 3,organizations can explore and finetune the endless reduction opportunity simulations.Product,material,quantity,etc.changesOrganizations can align their forecast scenar

3、ios to things like switching to a new supplier or changes in their transportation and distribution.Adaptable forecasting methodologyWhat-if analysis uses ARIMA and ETS time-series forecasting models,in combination with custom data handling to generate high-confidence forecasts.Live Product DemoScope

4、CategoryExampleChange Field(s)1Industrial ProcessWhat if we switched from Casting to Hydroforming our metal?Industrial process typeMobile CombustionWhat if we switched from Diesel heavy-duty vehicles 2018 to Gasoline heavy-duty vehicles 2018?Vehicle type and fuel typeStationary CombustionWhat If we

5、switched from Anthracite to Biodiesel with a conversion ratio of 0.79?Fuel type and energy conversion ratio(defined by the user)2Purchased coolingWhat if we switched to renewable energy for this facility?Is renewablePurchased electricityPurchased heatPurchased steam3Purchased goods and servicesWhat

6、if we switched from buying our Billboards from Supplier A to Supplier B?Spend typeCapital goodsWhat if we switched from buying our Farm Equipment from Supplier A to Supplier B?Upstream T&DWhat if we switched from transporting our computer chips by plane to boat,resulting in a 20%