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1、Reimagining manufacturing and supply chainsInvesting in Southeast AsiaCompanies investing in Southeast Asia can accelerate growth if they have a deep understanding of the operating landscape and maintain agile supply chain strategies.1Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply
2、chain|Contents21573Overview of the business landscapeSoutheast Asia(SEA)market environment and landscapeWhy SEA:enablers for businesses and investmentsEconomic outlook post COVID-19 pandemicExecutive summaryIndustry perspectivesCase studies The Singapore+ModelAnnexSnapshot of key SEA countriesOpport
3、unities in SEA amid disruption and challengesTop sectors in SEAKey opportunities and mid-term outlook in SEA across sectors5237396Key trends and developmentsRegional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP)Investments in infrastructure for improved supply chain and manufacturing Emergence of new tec
4、hnologiesDevelopment of sharing economy Green and sustainable infrastructure investment414242424345711124Building the strategySupply chain reimagined How are industries being disrupted?What is the implication on traditional supply chains?How can these disruptions be addressed?The imperatives for a r
5、esilient supply chain in the future.How can companies develop their strategy?What are the potential pitfalls to be overcome and ways of building future strategies,new investments,capabilities,evolving supply chain models in the focused sectors?15249222|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufac
6、turing and supply chains1Executive summary3Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chain|Executive SummarySoutheast Asia(SEA)is home to over 656 million people and is a confluence of many emerging markets.Through a unique combination of demographics,natural resources and exc
7、iting market trends,the region provides both purpose and myriad opportunities to businesses to develop and expand their manufacturing and supply chain capabilities.There are several enablers that make the region one of the fastest-growing regions in Asia-Pacific(APAC),and worthy of opportunity hunti
8、ng even in the global landscape.Some of the enablers include growth of the consuming class and easy availability of a skilled workforce.Though the COVID-19 pandemic dealt a blow in 2020,the region is poised to make a sharp recovery in 2021.The regions evolving trade policies have helped to create a
9、boost in several sectors of the manufacturing and service industry.Based on an analysis of pre-pandemic export data,consumer goods and health care equipment sectors are areas of focus for this report.Other emerging sectors such as electronic manufacturing services(EMS)and agritech have also been exp
10、lored.As the world battles the COVID-19 pandemic,the vulnerabilities of traditional supply chains have been bared open,with certain critical industries being caught off-guard and now dealing with major and minor shock waves.Trade tensions between the US and China have driven entities to further reth
11、ink their supply chain strategies,providing an added impetus for SEA opportunities.This report examines how entities in specified industries are impacted and can optimize their supply chain strategies.The consumer goods sector is currently under pressure to ensure maximum value derivation from the s
12、upply chain,while ensuring greater transparency in value chain activities.The health care industry,which was majorly impacted by the pandemic,is exploring alternate revenue channels through telemedicine and the use of technology for both production of medicines and equipment.Through this report,indu
13、stry perspectives were gathered from players in the focused sectors.These provide a context for the pain points these entities suffered,their rationale for selecting SEA as their region of preference or expansion,enablers that proved advantageous for entities operating in this region,and their futur
14、e aspirations from the region.Numerous initiatives such as the Southeast Asia Manufacturing Alliance(SMA)and Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP)connect companies with a network of trusted partners to navigate and grow in the diverse SEA region with confidence.In particular,the RCEP all
15、ows economic integration with about 30%of the worlds population.There are several trends and developments that promulgate SEA as a key region of focus in the future.Technological advancements and their rapid adoption,continuous improvement to provide state-of-the-art infrastructure facilities and de
16、velopment of a sharing-based economic model are some factors among many,which make SEA the desired region for expansion of manufacturing and supply chain capabilities.As the world is battling the COVID-19 pandemic,the vulnerabilities of traditional supply chains have been bared open,with certain cri
17、tical industries being caught off-guard and now dealing with major and minor shock waves.4|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chains2Overview of the business landscape5Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chain|Southeast Asia(SEA)market envir
18、onment and landscapeThe ASEAN Economic Community(AEC),established in 2016,has been crucial to strengthening intra-ASEAN collaboration.It has created a single market and production base for the free flow of goods,services,investment,capital,and skilled labor within SEA.Multiple free trade agreements(
19、FTAs)of countries in SEA,along with its loosening tariffs,also attract increasing cross-border trade.For companies and investors in search of their next phase of growth,the AEC is an opportunity to integrate production processes and take advantage of each countrys unique natural resources,structural
20、 capabilities and labor skills.For instance,Singapore has emerged as a financial and legal powerhouse,offering easy access to investor capital.Furthermore,it is also considered an advanced manufacturing hub owing to cutting-edge technology capabilities and a highly skilled workforce.Indonesia,Malays
21、ia and Myanmar are abundant in natural resources that fuel sectors such as oil and gas.SEA is situated at the confluence of major trade routes with US$3.4t1 of global trade passing through each year.The region borders China and India,two of the worlds most populous economic powers,making SEA a focal
22、 point for cooperation and tensions,among both regional and global powers.Amid rising trade and technology tensions between the US,China and other related trading partners,SEA nations have now surpassed the US as Chinas second-largest trade partner.Rising imports from China have also put downward pr
23、essure on prices in the region.Despite these roadblocks,SEA is poised for growth in the upcoming years.With a combined GDP of over US$3.2t2 in 2019,it is currently the fifth-largest economy in the world.Home to 656 million2 people,a young demographic and a growing middle class,SEA holds immense pote
24、ntial,seen in the regions real gross domestic product(GDP)growth over the years in figure 1.The region is the fastest growing economy in Asia after China,and the International Monetary Fund(IMF)expects growth to remain at 3-5%in 2021-25.Figure 1:SEA real GDP growth%YoY301246-1FY17AFY18AFY19AFY20AFY2
25、1FFY22FFY23FFY24FFY25F-1-3535.4%5.1%4.8%3.4%5.0%5.0%5.0%4.9%-2.5%6|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chainsThe overall SEA region is also experiencing a meteoric rise in e-commerce penetration with online retail forecasted to reach US$53b4 by 2023.The regions|digital e
26、conomy is projected to exceed US$240b5 by 2025.The digital economy in Indonesia alone is estimated to reach US$124b6 by 2025.SEA is a geographically expansive and populous region,where each country has its own unique demographic,economic policies and market environment.Although increasingly viewed a
27、s an integrated regional bloc,SEA is by no means a homogenous entity.As several SEA states have their own production capabilities and unique business landscape,the region,as a whole,provides viable and sustainable opportunities for investors.While SEA is emerging as a manufacturing and logistics hub
28、 due to its lower cost base,digitization of manufacturing processes is also at the core of its future strategy with the adoption of Industry 4.0 being the norm.To suit their customized requirements,it is imperative for investors to rethink and tweak their strategies to accommodate region-specific nu
29、ances in the operating landscape.Indonesias digital economy alone is estimated to reach US$124bby 2025.SEA online retail is forecasted to reach US$53bby 2023.The regions digital economy is projected to exceedUS$240bby 2025.7Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chains|Why
30、SEA:enablers for businesses and investments1 Growth of consuming classThere has been strong demand from the SEA region across sectors,such as the energy sector that has grown by 80%7 since 2000.SEAs consumption is expected to more than double to nearly US$4t8 by 2030,with Indonesia accounting for on
31、e-third of the total consumption.SEA is also adding 140 million new consumers,representing 16%of the worlds new consumer class with newfound spending power,by 2030.These new consumers are young.According to ASEAN Key Figures 2020,more than half(59.6%)of SEAs population was within productive working
32、age in 2019,while 33.3%was classified as the youth population.By absolute numbers,Vietnam and Indonesia have the highest number of people in these demographic categories.This spells opportunities for companies to reach out to consumers in the region and cultivate loyalty.2 Low cost and skilled workf
33、orceSEAs key sectors such as advanced and precision manufacturing,medtech and consumer electronics require highly skilled labor with a specialized skill set.As Industry 4.0 technologies shape the future of these sectors,talent with skills in data mining,machine learning,and data transformation is be
34、ing developed and generated.The Net Enrolment Rate(NER)in secondary education for the region is over 75%,with Singapore leading at 99.3%.Four countries in the SEA region are ranked among the top 50 countries for the skill set of their graduate workforce.Regarding the ease of finding skilled labor,Si
35、ngapore,Malaysia and the Philippines ranked 9th,11th and 13th respectively across the globe.SEA also has an abundance of lower-skilled workers,largely made up of intra-regional migrants.With a large labor force and a plethora of capabilities,ranging from assembly workers to highly skilled digital-re
36、ady professionals,there appears to be ample diverse talent to keep up with the increasing demand across SEA.3 Ease of doing business coupled with an attractive tax environmentSEA governments have continued to take steps to improve the ease of doing business through reforming legal and trade framewor
37、ks in addition to investing in infrastructure,sophisticated manufacturing capabilities and talent.Incentives such as tax holidays,allowances,exemptions and super exemptions;customs and duties exemptions;and cash grants are available for companies looking to relocate their manufacturing or supply cha
38、in hubs to SEA.On the Global Ease of Doing Business Index 20199,seven SEA countries featured in the top half,while three ranked in the top 25,with Singapore leading at rank 2.The average statutory corporate tax rate is 28.44%globally,26.96%for G2010 and 27.40%for BRICS.The tax rate for the SEA regio
39、n averages approximately 22.35%11,with Singapore being the lowest at 17.0%.8|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chainsThe incentives available typically center around manufacturing,principal and trading activities;R&D and innovation;specific industries or location-bound
40、ed operations(e.g.,special economic zones).A proactive and strategic approach to obtaining incentives can generate significant cost savings,generally a 5-30%return on investment,dependent on the project size,capital investment,geographic jurisdiction,perceived competitiveness and timing.To further i
41、mprove the digital infrastructure and facilitate cross-border digital trade,the ASEAN Coordinating Committee on Electronic Commerce(ACCEC)adopted the ASEAN Digital Integration Framework(DIF)in 2018.The adoption of the ASEAN Smart Cities Network(ASCN)presents opportunities for investments across mult
42、iple sectors.4 Abundant free trade agreementsCountries in SEA have continued to promote and enhance trade cooperation inter-and intra-region.A number of FTAs have been established over the past couple of years.These include the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership(CPTPP)and Region
43、al Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP).FTAs can reduce overall costs to manufacture,improve operating margins and improve product lead times.The attractiveness of SEA predates the US-China trade disputes.In 2010,Nike expanded its entire manufacturing operations in Vietnam.The region continues t
44、o further align itself as a major bloc for economic development and sustainable innovation.SEA enjoys the key advantage of significantly lower labor costs an advantage that is outweighed by poor productivity.This,however,may be an outdated concern for some of SEAs budding high-tech sectors as they a
45、re dependent on a highly skilled workforce,and less so on a low-skilled one.Apart from labor,the regions incentives for firms to set up high-tech manufacturing factories and numerous FTAs make SEA a viable manufacturing region.Collectively,ASEAN has six FTAs with its dialogue partners and its member
46、 states have a further 12212 signed and in-effect agreements.Key SEA nations are an integral part of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP)enabling preferential interaction between 30%of the world economy and connecting over a third of the global population.The RCEP is designed to pos
47、itively impact multi-stage supply chain networks,making regional distribution more efficient through the easier operation of regional distribution centers(RDC)and additionally increasing competition for business hubs.When relocating manufacturing or supply hubs,utilization of FTAs can lower the tota
48、l landed cost,improve margins,shorten lead times of import and export,and thus provide the requisite agility and resilience.A critical component when assessing the ability to qualify for preferential rates within the FTA is to carefully align the local supplier base evaluation to ensure regional val
49、ue content thresholds can be met for FTA purposes.According to the World Banks Logistics Performance Index,nine SEA nations rank among the top 100.Notably,Vietnam,at the 39th spot13,offers a huge shipping advantage compared with other SEA countries and is a strong contender for export sectors such a
50、s apparel,textiles,footwear and bags,owing to the high workmanship of labor.Thailand,SEAs automobile manufacturing center,shows great potential despite political instability.Singapore is an attractive choice for entities looking for advanced manufacturing capabilities and that are at the higher end
51、of the manufacturing value chain.SEA can also expect to see a record increase in investment and trade soon.9Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chain|Economic outlook post COVID-19Despite a contraction in the regions real GDP amid lockdown restrictions during the pandemi
52、c,SEA states were expected to collectively witness a sharp recovery in 2021 by 6%14,with the regions six largest economies growing by 6.3%.Malaysia was forecasted to be the fastest-growing economy in 2021 with real GDP growth of 7.8%14 and the Philippines was expected to grow|at 7.4%.14 The regions
53、growing trade and strong fiscal policies have helped the countries witness a boost in growth of the manufacturing and service sectors.Post-pandemic,real estate,fast-moving consumer goods(FMCG)and food logistics,and manufacturing industries will likely emerge transformed as a result of major shifts i
54、n supply-demand dynamics.The integration of information and communication into health care will also drive sectoral reforms.Usage of health care apps shall transform the way hospitals and doctors store their records as well as collect and share patient data.Indonesia is predicted to have an internet
55、 economy close to US$130b by 2025 from US$40b in 2021.There shall be major strides in new industries,such as agritech,medtech and edtech,and radical shifts in certain industries such as automotive and electronics manufacturing services.In this new era,SEA shall play a pivotal role in shaping the glo
56、bal supply chain landscape.7.8%7.4%US$40bMalaysia GDP growth 2021The Philippines GDP growth 2021Indonesia is predicted to have an Internet economy close to US$130b by 2025 from US$40b in 2021.10|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chains3Opportunities in SEA amid disrupt
57、ion and challenges11Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chain|The analysis of pre-pandemic metrics notably the finished goods export in 2019 and the compound annual growth rate(CAGR)for 2015-2019 has helped in the identification of key sectors as focus areas for this whi
58、te paper.The top sectors identified are consumer goods and health care equipment.As seen in figure 2,the consumer goods sector has seen the second-largest volume of exports in the year 2019 and the largest CAGR in the period 2015-2019.Health care equipment has seen a considerable CAGR in 2015-2019 a
59、nd has a complex and unique global supply chain.In addition to these sectors and those highlighted in the graph above,certain emerging sectors have been identified,with a potential to become significant growth drivers for the region:Electronic manufacturing services(EMS)7.3%of the worlds consumer el
60、ectronics come from SEA and 80%of the worlds hard drives are made in this region.The top EMS manufacturing locations in SEA are Thailand,Malaysia and the Philippines.Some of the worlds largest Top sectors in SEAchipmakers such as Texas Instruments and the worlds largest producers of hard drives such
61、 as Hitachi have several bases in the Philippines.Malaysia has grown to become a major global manufacturing hub for several EMS companies,with a total investment of approximately US$35b.Agritech The alternative protein industry,which consists of plant-based,cultivated,whole-food meat,seafood and dai
62、ry alternatives,is predicted to grow annually at 9.3%16 globally until 2026.17 The agritech industry in SEA is fueled by increasing interest and investments,not just by governments and state-owned institutions such as Temasek,Enterprise Singapore and Singapores Economic Development Board(EDB),but al
63、so by large corporate and institutional investors such as Sequoia Capital.18 Rising consumer demand and a renewed focus on sustainability have led to promising growth of plant-based start-ups such as Karana and Shiok Meats among other plant-based ventures in the region.Figure 2:SEA sector-wise expor
64、ts(2019)15 and CAGR(2015-2019)%40016350143001225010200815061004502002019 exports(US$b)GAGR 2015 19%Electrical machinery and equipmentConsumer goodsMineralsNuclear equipment and partsFood(fresh and packaged)Mobility equipment and partsMetalsPrecious metalsChemicalsPlastic and related articlesHealth c
65、are equipment Finished goods Raw meterials Heavy metals and machinery12|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chainsKey opportunities and mid-term outlook in SEA across sectors1 Consumer goodsConsumers are now trending toward convenient,personalized and sustainably-sourced
66、 products that can simplify everyday life.A rising section of consumers is ready to pay a premium for products due to rising purchasing power in the region.Super apps have emerged in SEA20 and have altered how people engage within apps.For the consumer goods sector that comprises home care,personal
67、care and apparel,for the six biggest economies in SEA6,the market size for FY2015-20 grew historically at a CAGR of 1.9%19,and is forecasted to grow at 9.06%during FY2020-2519,while APAC is forecasted to grow at 7.6%19 as seen in figure 3.The market size in SEA for 2025 is estimated at over US$107b.
68、The shift in consumer purchase patterns,support from government institutions and economic integration toward a digital infrastructure are improving the overall feasibility of SEA.Supply chain resilience and reliance on multiple sources of supply are giving rise to significant opportunities.2 Health
69、care equipmentSingapore is among the fastest-growing innovative production hubs of this sector.A favorable business environment,strong intellectual property(IP)laws,an expansive research network and grants provide conducive support for new opportunities.The region is enjoying strong growth in telehe
70、alth,digital therapeutics,diagnostics,remote patient monitoring and analytics.The health care equipment market in SEA,which saw a CAGR of 7.8%in 2015-20,is forecast to see an increased CAGR of 10.2%in 2020-25.In contrast,APAC saw a CAGR of 5.5%in 2015-20,and is forecast to grow at 9.0%in 2020-25(fig
71、ure 4).Figure 3:Market growth SEA vs.APAC19Figure 4:Market growth SEA vs.APAC20335577FY15-20AFY15-20AFY20-25FFY20-25F99111111Market Growth Rate(%)Market Growth Rate(%)SEA APAC SEA APAC13Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chains|3 Electronic manufacturing services(EMS)Gl
72、obally,the EMS sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 5%in 2020-26.Opportunities are opening up in SEA,as entities readjust from their current facilities in China and develop more resilient supply chain networks in the region.Notably,6 of the worlds top 10 EMS companies are present in Singapore.U
73、nder its Research,Innovation and Enterprise(RIE)2020 plan,the Singapore Government plans to invest S$3.3b21 in advanced manufacturing and engineering R&D.4AgritechWith an increasing focus on healthy food options and sustainability,the right target demographic and R&D capabilities,the agritech sector
74、 is growing at a rapid pace in SEA,with Singapore leading the way.Arguably,the biggest driver for innovation in agritech in SEA is that Singapore currently imports 90%of its food.The Singapore Government has allotted S$30m22 in support of its“30 by 30”target,which aims to have 30%of Singapores food
75、produced locally by 2030.SEA received approximately US$700m23 of investments in 2020 in this sector,with a significant proportion going to Singapore.14|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chains4Building the strategy15Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing
76、 and supply chain|Supply chain reimaginedGeneral observations and imperativesSEA and the rest of the world continue to be impacted by COVID-19 and its variants,which also exposed the fragility and inherent inefficiencies of traditional supply chains.The pandemic has caught all industries off guard w
77、ith ripple effects tearing through supply chains and impacting routine operations.Dependence on a single source of supply enhances reliability,but hampers flexibility.The pandemic has forced companies to identify alternative,lower-risk local suppliers for diversification,as well as to be closer to t
78、he market.Proximity to consumers will result in faster time-to-market and lower logistics costs as well as provide companies higher flexibility to adapt to local demand.Trade tensions between the US and China and the imposition of tariffs on Chinese goods are boosting opportunities for investments i
79、n SEA to circumvent any impending disruptions.The trade tension has not only caused global shocks with immediate and substantial consequences,but also indicates that the political landscape may face heightened uncertainty and formidable challenges in the decade ahead.SEA nations are now being increa
80、singly seen as low-cost manufacturing hubs,not only for high-tech or high-value goods,but also for mainstream products.Many entities are already moving toward or planning to adopt a“China Plus One”strategy,a key opportunity for investments in SEA.There is a strong emphasis on reducing supply chain o
81、verheads in the long run,while developing a resilient supply chain,immune to both minor and major disruptions.Industry 4.0 is transforming how entities optimize their manufacturing processes.Manufacturers in SEA are leveraging digital technologies such as advanced manufacturing methods,human-machine
82、 interaction,advanced analytics and intelligence to overcome relatively low productivity levels and further strengthen their position as“factories of the world”.The increase in investments by SEA governments in technology and digitization is a promising development.Sector-specific observations and i
83、mperativesSector:Consumer goods(CG)Consumer behavior had been evolving rapidly even before the pandemic struck.The current crisis has led to greater uncertainty and complexities for the consumer goods industry on many fronts,including accelerated shifts in consumer preferences,personalization,speed
84、to delivery and convenience.Consumers who had been slow to adopt online shopping prior to the pandemic are now regular users.Other trends are also emerging.Short-and medium-term demand across product categories is expected to shift toward most consumer staples,including food and beverage products wi
85、th an extended shelf life.Demand for home care and consumer health and hygiene products is also expected to continue to increase.However,discretionary spending will likely dip,with consumers becoming more value-conscious and focusing more on essential,competitively priced goods.16|Investing in South
86、east Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chainsConsumer product supply chains face twin pressures i.e.,retailers are moving up the value chain and demanding greater traceability in the products they sell.The resulting complexity in distribution networks,coupled with supply and demand volatilit
87、y,requires consumer companies to digitally transform their supply chains to build agility and resilience across their ecosystem(figure 5).While geographic differences in affordability,health,sustainability,consumer impact and experience define our consumer segments,these issues concern all consumers
88、 globally(figure 6):Affordability:Globally,58%plan to be more aware and cautious of their spending in the longer term.Health:57%of consumers want to make healthier choices in their product purchases in the longer term.Sustainability:49%will prioritize the environment and climate change in how they l
89、ive and the products they buy.Consumer impact:56%will be more likely to buy from companies that ensure what they do has a positive impact on society.Experience:37%will be less inclined to get involved in experiences outside the home on account of health and safety concerns.Sector:Health care equipme
90、ntThe COVID-19 crisis and subsequent overwhelming of health care systems across the world have only highlighted the grim reality of conventional processes.The advent and mainstream adoption of digital technologies such as 5G and telemedicine are bound to disrupt the entire health care industry.This
91、will also create new opportunities for transforming the current supply chain network of pharmaceuticals and health care equipment.There is an emerging trend of value-driven care,centered around increasing focus on the patients experience,reducing medical waste and lowering overall costs.Chronic dise
92、ases,such as diabetes and cardiovascular disease caused by sedentary lifestyles,are becoming more prevalent in SEA.New solutions,which include the use of robotic surgery,3D printing and implantable devices in addition to other innovations for prevention,have the potential to disrupt existing framewo
93、rks.32%Affordability first17%Planet first14%Society first12%Experience first25%Health firstFigure 6:Distribution of future consumer priorities(global)2471%of consumer goods companies are currently going through a significant business and technology transformation program64%are increasing investment
94、and strategic focus in digital transformationFigure 5:EY survey of global CEOs2517Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chain|Medical equipment industries are facing pertinent obstacles in preparation for a new supply chain of tomorrow.The ubiquity of data creates new oppo
95、rtunities for life sciences companies to rethink innovation and create personalized health outcomes.Framing innovation in terms of outcomes and personalization means products are no longer the central driver of value.Platforms that connect,combine and share data will be a key enabler of this future
96、value creation.Success requires adopting flexible business models that allow life sciences companies to develop data-driven improvements to health outcomes.Companies must also develop systems that align objectives and share value among stakeholders,with logistics strategically located within SEA to
97、enable quick and efficient transportation of products.Sector:Electronic manufacturing services(EMS)Industry 4.0 technologies will drive the manufacturing facilities of the future,with seamless data flows across product life cycles,fully automated production systems running on significant data crunch
98、ing and thorough analytics,enabling more efficient production processes.The shortage of semiconductor chips in 2020 and 2021 showcased a direct consequence of supply chain disruptions as many car manufacturers were obligated to reduce output or even suspend production.This raised concerns about the
99、concentration of vast chip manufacturing in relatively few countries,while providing an avenue to maximize efficiency and minimize disruptions.As electric vehicle(EV)production grows,so will the global market for semiconductors,given that EV systems require more semiconductor content than internal c
100、ombustion powertrains.According to the EY Mobility Lens Forecaster,EV sales across the US,Europe and China will surpass that of both internal combustion engine(ICE)and fully hybrid vehicles by 2033.The rise in EVs is bound to disrupt the mineral and metal markets.Demand for lithium,cobalt,nickel,gra
101、phite and rare earth metals is likely to grow exponentially.Prices for these commodities are volatile and prone to geopolitical uncertainty.Reserves are highly concentrated.Over 50%of lithium reserves are found in Australia,Argentina and Chile.SEAs automotive industry is expected to enjoy continued
102、growth in both regional supply chains,as well as a global exporter.The potential for high-value exports in EV components such as batteries will be an important driver in this expansion.Sector:AgritechThe pandemic severely disrupted traditional and labor-intensive industries like agriculture,creating
103、 significant hurdles for food availability and accessibility.A growing world population,a rising middle class and a prolonged COVID-19 crisis pose challenges to food security and nutrition in developing countries and low-income households as some consumers reorient consumption patterns,e.g.,from nut
104、ritious fruits toward staple foods.Structural changes like shifting consumer trends and urbanization make consumers conscious about the environmental impact of supply chains,and consumers are therefore willing to adopt more sustainable alternatives and invest further in agritech.Digital technologies
105、 like blockchain and AI can help the agritech industry derive ultimate value for consumers and create sustainable industry practices.It tackles the unsustainability of current animal protein consumption and production and acts as an alternative for countries that heavily rely on foreign food imports
106、,such as Singapore.18|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chainsWhat is the implication on traditional supply chains?The just-in-time(JIT)methodology developed by the Japanese in the 1970s was designed to optimize the supply chain through a reduction of inventory and wor
107、k-in-process(WIP).However,for many industries now with complex supply chains,there is significant pressure to achieve a cost advantage by sourcing materials and conducting value-addition activities across multiple geographies,making unfettered interconnectivity the primary key to success.There are f
108、our major shifts expected to impact the traditional supply chain(figure 7)in general:Acceleration of online retail penetration:With distancing measures and the pandemic transforming gradually into an endemic,online retail penetration will continue to accelerate.Estimates forecast online retail in SE
109、A to reach US$53b5 in 2023.Shifting and expansion of new business models:There are new developments in how products and services are ultimately presented to and consumed by consumers.An example is the development of community platforms,which enable multichannel engagement directly with consumers thr
110、ough gamification and personalization.Nike has fully embraced its community platform through its“Consumer Direct Offense”strategy,enabling it to achieve a 38%digital growth in the second quarter of its financial year 2020.Supply chains will become complex and agile:Pomelo Fashion,founded in 2013 and
111、 based in Thailand,is SEAs leading omnichannel fashion platform.It recently launched PRISM,which is an end-to-end brand solutions platform utilizing demand forecasting services to enable smaller companies to achieve better economies of scale.PRISMs demand forecasting service has an approximate 85%ac
112、curacy and uses proprietary machine learning.With information from Pomelos mobile app and physical stores in Thailand,predictive analytics analyzes data points of the products to predict their popularity.This helps companies,such as Pomelo,improve their merchandise planning and product development.S
113、upply chain optimization will become an important driver in decision-making:The strategy will shift from focusing only on traditional costs like logistics and warehousing to include the impact of lost sales,inventory holding and obsolescence costs.Figure 7:The inadequacies of traditional supply chai
114、ns26Lean and cost-optimizedFocused on tier-1 suppliersTalent challenges with tenure and skillsSlow response to changing trade and tax environment Vendor concentrationLimited visibility Immature risk mitigation processLimited investment in technologyInter-company pricing does not keep pace with trade
115、 and tax environmentsPoor data,not stat integrity,quality and securityMisaligned and misplaced inventory levelsGeographic concentrationSuppliersManufacturersLogisticsWarehousingDistributionCustomersTraditional supply chains are rigid and linear19Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing
116、and supply chain|Figure 8:What ranks as the top supply chain success factor27How can these factors be addressed?The imperatives for a resilient supply chain in the futureCompanies and supply chains are facing multiplying pressures from the market.Requisites of a resilient supply chain include(Figure
117、 8):Need for speed:Customers no longer expect their suppliers to simply react to their needs,but to anticipate them.With the pace of change,supply chains must be able to adapt quickly to match fast-changing customer preferences.Evolving from linear to digitally networked supply chain:Although most c
118、ompanies are evolving from a linear supply chain,only approximately 25%consider themselves digitally networked or autonomous.For companies seeking to transform their supply chain,it is critical to fully understand the path ahead and recognize where they are on the journey from linear to autonomous.S
119、upply chains are moving to become a networked ecosystem where all the data is in the cloud,and any event can be seen and acted on by everyone simultaneously.Supply chain investment priorities:A key goal is to adopt and pilot emerging technologies with scale in mind not as an afterthought,but as an i
120、ntegral part of the supply chain.Traditionally,supply chains were viewed by many as a cost center.However,going forward,decision-makers should see their supply chain as a way to effectively compete in the marketplace and steer strategy.Overcoming talent shortage:People are the backbone of an entity,
121、and as industry transforms,so must the talent that drives it.Supply chain leaders need to drive the vision and rethink ways of working to attract and retain the right talent.The workforce must transform as the supply chain reinvents through retraining,recruiting and retention.The unexpected disrupti
122、on from the current pandemic provides an unprecedented opportunity for supply chains of the future to be redesigned with the new 3Rs:Responsiveness:Systems respond to inputs from the external environment.The supply chain system relies on inputs such as customer order volume,commodity prices and frei
123、ght rates to act.Therefore,businesses should appreciate the value of obtaining real-time updates on these inputs by upgrading from legacy systems.Reconfiguration:Diversifying ones supply chain is not as simple as building additional plants in other jurisdictions.It involves revamping and redesigning
124、 functions in the system to be more“plug-and-play”.For example,in the event of future pandemics and extreme events such as flooding,could certain business functions like procurement and finance continue their operations from other less affected locations?What are the necessary changes to enable that
125、?These questions need to be answered.Resilience:Think bigger and be prepared to build resiliency from the ground up,starting with the organization structure,business processes and performance metrics to futureproof for the next disruptive event.There is no“one-size-fits-all”for what this looks like,
126、as every business is different.172014End-to-end visibility for the supply chain131716Real-time responsiveness to internal and external issues(e.g.,bottlenecks)131613Hiring the right people with the right skills889Increasing supply chain velocity999Adoption of latest digital technologies(e.g.,robotic
127、 process automation)Ranked 1 Ranked 2 Ranked 320|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chainsFigure 9:Supply chain of the future28As consumer goods executives strive to reframe their businesses for a post-pandemic era,they should be looking for opportunities to integrate d
128、igital capabilities that can generate significant financial value and prioritize the development of a transformational culture in their organizations.Development of smart factories,supply chain control towers,and supply chain intelligence platforms(SCIPs)can create end-to-end visibility through the
129、collection of accurate cloud data to support real-time decisions for all ecosystem partners(figure 9).The improvement in infrastructure shall add an additional stimulus for development.The new Patimban port in Subang,Indonesia and investments will ease logistics bottlenecks for the developing indust
130、rial parks.Successful consumer goods organizations are transforming their culture from “Digital Also”to“Digital First”(figure 10).For precision manufacturing sectors such as semiconductor,marine offshore and aerospace,adoption of innovative technological solutions in manufacturing operations is a mu
131、st.Singapores business environment and talent availability are conducive to the development of such innovative manufacturing solutions.The city-state provides a springboard to the SEA region;successful technologies and business models can logically be scaled up from there.Singapore,as a global logis
132、tics hub,could serve as an ideal solution for the Medtech industry.The country is a host for multiple airfreight providers that have achieved IATA Centre of Excellence for Independent Validators Certification for Pharmaceutical Handling(IATA CEIV Pharma).This ensures excellence in pharmaceutical han
133、dling and establishes a consistent standard among industry partners.The EY Food and Agriculture practice estimates the total alternative protein market size between US$77153b by 2030.Singapores science-forward regulatory approval process is frequently regarded as a leading indicator for broader appr
134、ovals by other countries.CorporationConnectorHospitalsConsumerPharmaciesRetail consumerCustomerWholesalerLogistics contractorSupply chain(SC)as a serviceSupplierSupplierR&D contractorCompetitorR&D collaboration in the cloudPlatform-based business modelSC planning Supplier managementRisk management C
135、oopetitionContract manufacturer21Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chains|Figure 10:What supply chain tech is being planned to use28Cloud computing Mobile,including tabletsInternet of ThingsRobotic process automation3D printing or additive manufacturingMachine learning
136、 or AIBig data analyticsDrones391722494429151021012410433623 2611815246161612321517155215171525182422 Not planning to use Actively planning to use in next 12-36 months Piloting today Deploying in same areas of the supply chain Deploying at scale 22|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturi
137、ng and supply chainsHow can companies develop their strategy?Multinational companies(MNCs)have traditionally leveraged economies of scale,standardization and centralization to drive efficiencies.However,this strategy is not always fit for purpose for a diverse SEA market.Language,culture,the geograp
138、hic landscape,regulatory and tax regimes,economic maturity and a fragmented consumer base all challenge the replication of such global models in SEA.Furthermore,companies are increasingly moving away from heavily centralized,co-located operating models to hybrid structures,which allow better managem
139、ent of regional differences and balance growth,cost and agility objectives.In addition,the pandemic has also challenged the notion that co-location is required,with virtual centralization likely more prevalent going forward.While companies are rethinking their tailored regional supply chain strategi
140、es,there are eight critical factors that they must consider:While considering the above factors,companies should adopt a step-by-step approach to shape their regional supply chain strategies.The strategy should be defined in sync with short-,medium-and long-term business goals and objectives;nuances
141、 of various business segments defined by geographies,products and channels;the current supply chains robustness and potential gaps while scaling up the business and eventually take a segmented approach for different business segments to develop the supply chain strategy for SEA.1 Customer collaborat
142、ion and order fulfillment Inventory,warehousing,logistics and last-mile delivery planning to meet consumer expectations for quick delivery and prompt return services 2 Regional trade and tax value chain optimization An ideal positioning between jurisdictions to optimize the total cost-to-serve assoc
143、iated with procuring,manufacturing,importing,transporting,distributing and selling goods 3 Footprint,assets and investments Right level of geographic decentralization attained to serve high-growth markets at compelling costs4 Supply chain visibility,intelligence and traceability A well integrated su
144、pply chain with minimum interruption and maximum collaboration5 Product innovation Right balance between product standardization and product tailoring to country-specific requirements and at what stage of the supply chain6 Supply chain resiliency and sustainability at different stages Reduced depend
145、ence on a narrow set of global vendors as well as increased reliance on local sourcing at competitive prices 7 Workforce restructuring and upskilling A workforce that is not only technically competent,but also equipped with strategic thinking and problem-solving capabilities at different stages8 Dig
146、ital enablement To bring to life the various principles of Industry 4.0 and provide a much-needed boost to manufacturing efficiency and flexibility,labor productivity and workplace safety23Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chain|Additive manufacturingCompanies are slow
147、ly moving into utilizing additive manufacturing as it allows them to produce parts on demand and reduce inventory requirements by shifting them into virtual inventories.Level of digitalizationDigital twinCompanies can leverage ecosystem providers to create a digital prototype of their physical suppl
148、y chains to analyze data,sense problems and simulate decisions regarding demand forecasting,scenario testing,production planning,etc.BlockchainCompanies are deploying shared databases to enhance product traceability,streamline processes and optimize costs by recording all transactions performed by v
149、arious stakeholders across the value chain.RFIDCompanies are using tracking of individual stock-keeping units(SKU)using radio-frequency identification(RFID)tags for full visibility of the supply chain from manufacturing to warehouses to retail stores.Cloud-based technologyCompanies can consider util
150、izing software-as-a-service(SaaS)or platform-as-a-service(PaaS)for better procurement system and inventory management by an intelligent analysis of massive information across the supply chain network.Companies can shape manufacturing and supply chain capabilities in SEA into a competitive advantage
151、by investing in custom-fit models optimized for business needs.This strategic direction depends on where businesses are at across these three dimensions:asset ownership,consolidation and digitalization.Level of asset ownershipAsset lightCompanies can leverage shared ecosystem and platform services a
152、cross the value chain(innovation,product testing,manufacturing and distribution)to achieve greater flexibility in operations.It is particularly beneficial in new market entries,new products,new business lines and disaggregated outreach to customers and provides better responsiveness to demand fluctu
153、ations,changes in technologies and unforeseen disruptions in the supply chain.Asset heavyMature companies prefer to integrate vertically to the extent possible for better control,visibility and margins.However,the decision on asset ownership can differ across the value chain and investment can be ov
154、er-indexed on critical and strategic parts only.Level of consolidationHub and spoke modelCompanies can utilize a central strategic location as a hub for distribution,from which all shipments to various destinations will be made.Singapore proves to be an ideal transshipment hub location given its exc
155、ellent location,strong maritime and air connections(Tuas Mega Port and Changi Airport)and talent pool.12324|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chainsWhat are the potential pitfalls to be overcome as well as ways of building future strategies,new investments,capabilities
156、 and evolving supply chain models in these key sectors?Sector:Consumer goods Consumer goods is a mature industry with a global value chain.The sector is forecasted to grow at 9.06%between 2020 and 2025 to reach a market size of US$107b in SEA by 2025.Disruptions due to changing consumer preferences
157、and the need for rapid digitalization call for innovative supply chain solutions.Singapore,being a trading and logistics hub in the SEA region,is well positioned to coordinate and execute the development of more agile and resilient supply chains.Pitfalls1.Inability to meet rapidly changing consumers
158、 consumption patterns,especially e-commerce Consumer preferences are rapidly evolving.They demand greater convenience,personalization and“Amazonification”.Consumers are now used to having products delivered to their doorsteps as a result of movement restrictions to prevent COVID-19 infections.Accord
159、ing to EY Future Consumer Index 2021,61%of consumers are visiting stores less frequently in Indonesia and 35%of consumers will have online as the primary channel for browsing across various subcategories of consumer goods.This has made e-commerce much more important than ever.Consumer goods companie
160、s realize the importance of online channels,but are still slow to capture this market segment due to a lack of agility required to repivot supply chains for e-commerce.Setting up the supply chain to support an online channel requires companies to set up smart warehouse operations,revamping transport
161、ation from traditional fleets for bulk orders to more agile last-mile delivery and return logistics.As a result,market shares in the online channel lag the offline channel for most companies,translating into foregone sales.2.Lack of integrated and end-to-end communication A seamless supply chain fun
162、ction requires continuous coordination with internal parties like procurement,manufacturing,logistics,marketing and finance functions and external parties like raw material suppliers,third-party manufacturers,logistics partners,and distribution partners.The unavailability of real-time and accurate d
163、ata across the supply chain and further lack of investment in data analysis prevent companies from efficiently forecasting consumer demand,and affect the supply chains agility in the face of rapid changes.This lack of integration also prevents players from having insights into the inventory at vario
164、us nodes of the supply chain and points-of-sale,leading to misaligned priorities,higher cost and increased wastage.3.Geographic risk of concentrated manufacturing capabilities A significant part of consumer goods manufacturing is still based in China.The high concentration of imports from any one co
165、untry makes the supply chain susceptible to delays,heavy administration and shipping costs that can have ripple effects throughout the supply chain.For example,due to the US-China trade dispute,companies were forced to identify alternative markets for their products.Though exports to SEA have increa
166、sed,opportunities to pivot to a new market may not always be available.Additionally,the pandemic has deepened the cracks in the supply chain due to Chinas dominant role as the movement of goods slowed drastically at the beginning of the pandemic,leading to empty distribution centers and warehouses a
167、nd product shortages.25Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chain|4.Increasing consumer awareness and inclination toward sustainability The consumer demographic in the region is swiftly changing and Gen Z and millennials will account for 75%of the SEA consumers by 2030.Th
168、is consumer segment is more digitally enabled and increasingly favors companies with sustainable and goal-oriented practices.As the entire value chain becomes more transparent in todays age of information,it is not enough for companies to assume that their tier-1 suppliers are adhering to industry-a
169、ccepted standards or simply rely on declarations by them.Leading fashion giants have been at the receiving end of a continued backlash for the social and environmental impact of their affordable fashion.Companies need to be confident that their entire supply chain,from the source of raw materials to
170、 the final product and distribution,is upholding sustainability standards and undertake a diligent review of all the stakeholders involved to ensure this.According to the EY Future Consumer Index 2021,73%of global consumers believe brands have a responsibility to make a positive change in the world
171、and 80%of global consumers believe brands must be transparent about their environmental impacts in the production of their goods and services.An increasing number of companies in recent years have pledged to increase adherence to sustainability standards,which involves renegotiating contracts to wor
172、k with suppliers whose practices are sustainable,including innovating packaging that produces minimum waste and reduces the environmental impact of transportation.Besides sustainability considerations,consumers are also increasingly holding companies to higher ethical standards.Companies also need t
173、o ensure that other rightful practices,such as safe working conditions for laborers,no animal testing and fair payment for sourcing raw materials,are being upheld.Committing to such rightful and sustainable practices undoubtedly puts pressure on margins and companies need to rethink various parts of
174、 their supply chains to identify the best way forward to strike a balance between consumer expectations and profits.Solutions1.Increase geographic footprint To reduce their reliance on any one country for sourcing of goods,companies should shift their focus to new and growing economies in the SEA re
175、gion.Companies are strategizing to diversify their manufacturing footprint and move closer to end markets.Nearshoring and near sourcing give companies the flexibility to respond to consumer behavior faster.In the case of nearshoring,inventory can be transitioned and delivered faster as it is closer
176、to the end customer.Similarly,companies can incorporate personalization by manufacturing products to order instead of building huge inventories.The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP)can act as a great push for companies to diversify their manufacturing set-up in the region and benefit
177、 from the accelerated flow of finished goods,low import duties and increased regional collaboration.Combined with Singapores expertise in trade supporting services such as finance and logistics,the RCEP can prove beneficial in making the regional supply chain more resilient and cost-effective.26|Inv
178、esting in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chains2.Leverage data and digitalization Integrating digital functions and leveraging data can make supply chain management efficient and agile.Companies are increasingly looking for an end-to-end solution,such as a digital control tower(
179、figure 11),which integrates all requirements across the supply chain and provides real-time insights across warehouse management,fleet management,intelligent capacity forecasting,decision-making and reporting,intelligent tracking and returns management.In addition to the digital control tower,compan
180、ies can also invest in technological developments such as the following:AI to develop robust demand-forecasting models,which can promote efficient inventory management,improve working capital utilization and drive down logistics costs Smart automation,including predictive maintenance and lesser huma
181、n touch during manufacturing to accelerate operations and reduce error rates RFID to make product tracking more efficient and help in reducing in-store merchandising manipulationWarehouse management Fleet management Intelligent capacity forecastingDecision-making and reportingIntelligent trackingRet
182、urn managementDigital control tower Tracking inventory coming in and going out Inventory count update Warehouse operations Driver forecasting Asset forecasting Space forecasting Asset optimization Provide CAPEX and OPEX estimated to C-suit for FY planning Visibility on effective processing on return
183、 inventory at warehouse Visibility on grading and action on return inventory Near real-time visibility across the network Superior visibility leads to better decision-making Greater clarity and better reconciliation and audit One-stop-shop solution with centralized accountability,responsibilities,qu
184、ality and performance-related decision-making platformFigure 11:Benefits of digital control tower in supply chains29 Singapore,being the regional hub for R&D,Internet of Things(IoT)and digitalization,can assist consumer goods players in developing such capabilities.Singapores Alliance for Action on
185、Supply Chain Digitalization is one such platform that companies can leverage where it pilots common data infrastructure to make supply chains more efficient by developing solutions to strengthen trade finance and help container flow-node decongestion.3.Optimize value by segmented supply chain Each g
186、eography,product segment and customer demographic has varying requirements and contributions to the contribution-margins and growth.It is critical to implement targeted supply chain strategies to optimize value for the customer.Companies can do that by deploying a segmented sales and operations plan
187、ning methodology through the following strategies:Demand forecasting:Unique forecasting algorithms for different channels,products or regions based on the significance of inputs like sensitivity to promotions,pricing and causal factors27Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and suppl
188、y chain|Figure 12:e-Distributor model details30e-DistributorOnline marketplacee-Distributor or OMPCPGEnd consumer123Payment on agreed amount of stock on trade termsLists products on platformIssues purchase orders,handles invoices and paymentConsumer places ordersLast-mile deliveryInventory owned and
189、 stored in e-Distributor warehouseDelivers products based on purchase orders Supply planning:Prioritization of strategic stock-keeping unit(SKU)for manufacturing;differentiated on time in full(OTIF)for channels or regions based on customer requirements Inventory planning:Separate inventory norms bas
190、ed on demand-supply variability and velocity of products to maintain a healthy inventory across the nodes4.Leverage partnerships and outsourcing To provide faster delivery:Companies should enhance last-mile delivery by either outsourcing to or partnering with service providers such as Ninja Van,Laza
191、da Express,etc.Companies can also explore partnering with tech providers to implement innovative distribution concepts.To capture the online channel:Consumer goods companies are choosing one of the two prevalent business models:e-agent and e-distributor(figure 12),based on factors such as channel co
192、ntrol,inventory risk,ease of execution,revenue and margins.In the e-agent model,ownership of the products and risks lies with the company and commercial terms include a variable commission with a fixed fee.On the contrary,in the e-distributor option,the company simply sells the product to the distri
193、butor.To provide personalization:By outsourcing certain layers of the supply chain to specialized service providers,companies can cater to consumers demand for personalized products.For instance,apparel companies can provide a raw stock of clothes to their partners,which specialize in customizing cl
194、othing pieces such as dyeing in different colors or adding initials to the garment.5.Develop direct-to-consumer e-commerce The direct-to-consumer(DTC)approach simplifies the supply chain by cutting out middlemen and ensures product ownership till the last mile.Companies can also fulfill bulk orders
195、via this channel as the volume purchased helps in offsetting shipping costs.The DTC segment in SEA is still picking up with companies such as Pomelo in Thailand and Secretlab in Singapore being early movers.Companies can explore various options to further drive down warehousing and logistics costs u
196、nder this model.For example,small companies can leverage existing platforms such as Shopify or their brick-and-mortar stores under the click-and-collect logistics model.For example,Decathlon allows customers to place orders on its website and collect goods from their stores.As an alternative to coll
197、ecting from physical stores,companies can partner with convenience stores such as 7-Eleven in Singapore or Big C in Thailand that can serve as the collection point.28|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chainsSector:Health care equipment However,this model poses two key
198、challenges:Lack of agility in supply chain:The lack of seamless coordination between the global manufacturing centers and the regional agents decreases the agility of the supply chain to respond to both demand and supply variations.The key reason is the limited involvement of the agencies in invento
199、ry management processes.In addition,the over-reliance on regional agencies poses cash collection challenges for multinationals.Inaccurate demand sensing:Demand forecasting for the sector is heavily reliant on historical data.The agency model poses challenges for companies to access real-time and acc
200、urate sales data.This makes it increasingly difficult for companies to plan their output,resulting in a demand-supply mismatch.2.Third-party risk Reliance on third parties for critical components makes the supply chain susceptible to disruptions.With the inclusion of third parties in the supply chai
201、n,companies get exposed to various risks like regulatory compliance,quality assurance,misappropriation of the companys IP and breach or termination of the manufacturing agreement at an inconvenient time for the company.In addition,backward integration prevalent in the industry and acquisitions of ke
202、y suppliers by competitors have made the supply chains fragile,especially if the company operates under single supplier contracts.Compared with the global market for health care equipment,which was valued at US$456.7b in 2020,the SEA market corresponds to only 2.2%of the total market share and hence
203、,is not a focus geography for multinational manufacturers.There is a gap between global manufacturing and regional distribution,which is further deepened by regulatory nuances in SEA countries.Companies can leverage Singapores capabilities in the coming years as they increase their focus on the regi
204、onal health tech sector,which is expected to see an increase in demand due to technological advancement and population growth.Pitfalls1.Inefficiency in supply chain due to the agency model Health tech manufacturing has not picked up momentum in SEA.Most of the regional players are located outside SE
205、A in countries like India and China,with Singapore being the only exception.Most players operate in the SEA region via the agency model,wherein an international manufacturer sells the right to market and distribute the product to an agent such as DKSH and Transmedic in each country.The agency is res
206、ponsible for obtaining market authorization to be able to sell the products and undertakes all complementary functions such as marketing,distribution and logistics.29Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chain|3.Different regulatory requirements across the region The diffe
207、ring regulatory frameworks for medical tech devices in SEA result in varied times to market for different countries and add to further complexities in the supply chain.Foreign manufacturers are subject to additional regulations such as the mandatory appointment of a local authorized representative i
208、n Malaysia to register devices or a local partner for sales and distribution in Vietnam.Indonesia restricts foreign ownerships in medical devices companies at 49%.While countries like Singapore,Indonesia and Malaysia have integrated the ASEAN Medical Device Directive in their local laws,other countr
209、ies like Thailand and the Philippines are still in the process of transitioning.31 The local SEA markets still represent a fraction of the demand for health tech equipment companies and such regulatory complexities could act as further deterrents to establishing local manufacturing and distribution
210、capabilities.Such regulatory nuances force companies to rely on their local distributors for market authorization and quality assurance,contributing to additional lead times to market.Solutions1.Consider alternatives to the agency model Manufacturers can consider operating under a direct to market m
211、odel,wherein they do not engage an agency,but instead set up local teams for sales,marketing and distribution depending on the demand in a country.Setting up local entities in a country can also help shorten the time to market due to favorable regulations.Engaging with major customers through partne
212、rships or investments in joint research could help bring companies closer to customers and that will help avoid dependency on the agency for demand creation.Companies can adopt a vendor-managed inventory system where the manufacturer is responsible for optimizing the inventory held by the distributo
213、r.This can give companies more visibility on consumer demand and lead to more accurate demand sensing.2.Diversify supplier and geographic risk The pandemic has highlighted the importance of reducing the third-party and geographic risk in the supply chains to ensure continuous manufacturing of health
214、 tech equipment.Companies should undertake a diligent review of the supply chain to identify what portion of the business is tied to a particular component and supplier,to analyze the risk profile of third parties.Companies should also consider entering contracts with different suppliers across geog
215、raphies to diversify the sourcing of components.If multi-supplier contracts for components are restricted under exclusivity clauses,strategic partnerships with manufacturing suppliers should be established.Companies should enter into long-term,stable and predictable contracts with explicit clauses t
216、hat ensure supply after the acquisition of the supplier by a competitor.This will allow companies time to renegotiate contracts with new suppliers without disrupting production.3.Enable real-time data and end-to-end visibility Better collaboration with the distributors and investing in technologies
217、can provide companies with real-time and accurate sales data.End-to-end visibility is important,especially in the agency model,to integrate the two separate entities and make the supply chain seamless.Real-time data can also be fed into artificial intelligence-based models,which can make demand fore
218、casting more accurate.Tracking real-time data can also help in flagging early indicators of risk,disruptions and potential opportunities and give the companies enough time to respond.4.Establish a regional hub for secure commercial operations Singapore has established itself as a vantage point for c
219、ompanies to lead their commercial operations for the SEA region given its ease of doing business,availability of skilled talent,vibrant local health tech and innovation ecosystem,strong IP protection laws and logistics capabilities.Singapores proven logistics capabilities can benefit manufacturers t
220、o set up robust distribution channels across the region.Typically,an end-product comprises various components that are shipped from different parts of the world.Singapore can serve as the assembly base for such devices given its position as the trading hub in the region.Companies can also leverage S
221、ingapores manufacturing ecosystem,which hosts 6 of the worlds top 10 EMS companies which are active across the value chain,in medical imaging and diagnostic equipment as well as analytical instruments to shorten the supply chain and bring it closer to the end customers of the region.Singapore also h
222、as well-established regulatory frameworks such as the National Telemedicine Guidelines,which set clear guidelines on AI and data governance,medical devices,and telemedicine.30|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chainsSub-sector:Precision equipmentIn current times,the pr
223、ecision equipment industry plays an increasingly pivotal role due to the pressure to develop products that fare well in a highly competitive and technologically advanced market.The final products from the sector serve as critical inputs for other important industries such as telecom,electronics and
224、medical.Most countries in SEA are still developing capabilities to cater to the high-value sub-sector of the industry as manufacturing capabilities in the region still lag those of the developed nations.Singapore is an exception among the SEA countries and already has a well-established ecosystem of
225、 precision equipment stakeholders,given its skilled talent pool,world-class R&D capabilities and strong government focus.Other SEA countries can benefit from Singapores expertise in the sector as they aspire to move up the precision equipment value chain.Pitfalls1.High risk of disruption due to conc
226、entrated centers of manufacturing The regional manufacturing sector for precision equipment and electronic components is concentrated with fewer major centers for component manufacturing.The electronic revenue of the region is concentrated in in mainland China,which accounts for 23%,and Taiwan,Japan
227、 and South Korea collectively contributed 74%,while markets such as Malaysia,the Philippines,Thailand and Vietnam in SEA make up only 1%of the total revenue.This makes the supply chain slow in adapting to sudden shocks such as restrictions due to COVD-19 and impacts the bottom line due to an increas
228、e in shipping cost.32 Although companies are taking actions to shift their supply chains into SEA,the momentum remains slow.2.High inventory turnover due to shorter product life cycle The rate of technological advancement has been higher than ever before and continues to grow rapidly.This has made p
229、roduct life cycles shorter and inventory harder to forecast and manage.The value for goods like smartphones,tablets and laptops deprecates very quickly,falling 1%-2%each week.33 The average life-span of electronics has decreased drastically over the last few decades and that ranges from 1.5 years fo
230、r wearables to 13 years for flat-screen appliances today.Sector:Electronic manufacturing services(EMS)31Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chain|This complicates obsolescence planning and requires firms to invest in end-of-life(EOL)forecasting,aftermarket parts,refurbis
231、hing,remarketing,recycling,and EOL extension models through repair and maintenance.34 In the case of product failure,the inventory and cost of discarding it impact the bottom line and procurement of new products becomes challenging if manufacturing is centralized.3.Commoditization and product comple
232、xity To include cost-competitive components and manufacture products that include the latest advancements in technologies,almost all portions of the design and supply chain have become commoditized and are being outsourced.This ensures each component comes from a specialized manufacturer and the fin
233、al product is of the highest quality.For example,an iPhone designed in California needs components procured from 43 countries to be finally assembled and make its way to the retail stores.35 This has significantly increased the number of stakeholders in an already complex supply chain.With the high
234、number of components outsourced,the shortage of even the smallest components can make the entire supply chain come to a standstill.The supply patterns for each component need to match the demand patterns of the final product.As a result,it requires a strong feedback loop to coordinate the supply and
235、 demand across various stakeholders.For example,the current shortage of semiconductors in the market is having a ripple effect in the electronics industry.The supply of electronics is falling short of the demand due to the shortage of components that rely on semiconductors.Although semiconductor fou
236、ndries in Taiwan and Vietnam are manufacturing at full capacity36,the shortage continues to persist due to high demand and supply chain disruptions.Wistron,a global EMS player,also flagged that its hard drives and dynamic random-access memory(DRAM)supply will remain low due to the shortage of semico
237、nductors and their consequent high prices.37 In addition to potential supply shortages,the high number of suppliers involved in the supply chain increases quality and reputation risks.This is due to increasing cases of counterfeits because of low visibility into tier-2 and tier-3 suppliers and diffi
238、culty in identifying counterfeited or subpar equipment.The semiconductor counterfeit market was worth US$75b,which was approximately 18%of the US$419b market(2019).38,39 Companies need to invest substantial resources in quality assessment and review and audit suppliers periodically to ensure that th
239、e suppliers standards are in line with the companys requirements.4.Over-reliance on just-in-time logistics Most companies rely on just-in-time or lean manufacturing to reduce cost,optimize inventory and leverage offshore outsourcing.This model has worked well for decades,but the pandemic has shed li
240、ght on the inflexibility of the model in the face of external disruption.For example,the popular STM32 family of microprocessor units,which underpins many modern electronic device designs,became almost impossible to buy.40 The reliance of the manufacturing of these electronic devices on lean manufac
241、turing had essentially halted the supply chains.As the pandemic progresses,the supply chain for such critical components remains tight due to the lean manufacturing models in place,which are highly contingent on the smooth movement of goods globally.Solutions1.Diversify geographical and supplier ris
242、k SEA markets have presented themselves as a strong alternative to mainland China for companies to set up their manufacturing centers.For example,Pegatron,a Taiwanese assembler for Apple,Microsoft and Sony,invested US$19m to build its first plant at the Nam Dinh Vu Industrial Park in Hai Phong City
243、in March 2020 and plans to build its second and third plants at a cost of US$481m and US$500m respectively in addition to moving its R&D center from mainland China to Vietnam.41 Further,the shift of manufacturing centers to countries in SEA will be well supported by Singapores pre-existing distribut
244、ion capabilities as it used to be a major source of both electronics components and final products for the region but has since ceded market share to China.42 In addition,the flow of goods will be facilitated by the ASEAN Free Trade Area as well as the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCE
245、P).Countries in the RCEP,namely Thailand,Malaysia,the Philippines and Vietnam,are still focused on low-to mid-value segments of the supply chain.As these countries move to high value-added products,they can also benefit from Singapores role in the segment as a hub for the regional headquarters,R&D c
246、enters or highly complex and niche technologies required in the final manufacturing.32|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chains Globalization of supply chain and outsourcing components have some well-established pros and the cons can be dealt with by engaging a range o
247、f suppliers across components and geographies to prevent disruptions.Companies have already started exploring options as they had to procure components from different sources when production in China come to a sudden halt in the initial days of the pandemic.Companies should continue to build on thes
248、e diverse supplier sources to establish more resilient supply chains.2.Allow adaptable design in the supply chain Supply chain complexity can be reduced by creating products that do not rely on a single component for critical functionality.Identifying a range of equivalent components from different
249、suppliers can reduce the reliance on any one component or source.For example,a typical printing circuit board(PCB)comprises various components such as resistors,transistors,the capacitor,inductors,transformers,diodes and sensors.Companies should invest in research and design modification to include
250、variants or swappable substitutes of a single critical component,such as the resistor in the case of a PCB,to prevent the lack of availability of critical components from being a bottleneck in the supply of the finished equipment.3.Explore digitalization The seamless implementation of most improveme
251、nts in the supply chain rests on digitalization.There are a few key solutions that companies are investing in:Product lifecycle management(PLM)solutions to establish better coordination with suppliers and provide consumer data internally to all departments,including the supply chain,with a digitaliz
252、ed PLM helping to get the product to the market faster Application lifecycle management to better integrate the software and hardware components of the business Component management with computer vision cameras and blockchain records to trace components and identify subpar or fake components Additiv
253、e manufacturing to print or fabricate parts in case of supply disruptions Singapore has a strong ecosystem within the precision equipment industry that helps companies procure critical components and leverage the expertise of the other players.The country has been ahead of the curve in investing in
254、high-tech digital solutions for the supply chain.The established EMS ecosystem can provide firms with the digital capabilities for transformation.Singapores Precision Equipment Industry Transformation Map(2016)and Research,Innovation and Enterprise(2020)are government initiatives that will leverage
255、digital technologies to develop capabilities in advanced robotics,additive manufacturing,advanced materials,sensors,lasers and optics,advanced manufacturing and engineering R&D.4.Consider just-in-case vs.just-in-time With the evident cracks in the just-in-time model,reverting to the just-in-case(JIC
256、)model for critical components,like resistors in PCBs or precision parts based on custom specifications,is the obvious solution.JIC stands the test of uncertain external factors and uncertainty is expected to be the theme of the post-pandemic economic environment,at least in the short term.Companies
257、 are proactively reconfiguring their production and supply processes in the event of a supply shock.Companies should strive for a balance between the JIC and JIT models by maintaining inventory levels for components that do not have a diverse source or are critical to keeping the supply chain runnin
258、g even in the face of disruptions.33Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chain|Sector:AgritechPitfalls1.Import-dominated market leading to costly supply chain Western countries have been leading the foodtech industry.North America dominated the alternative protein market
259、in 2020 with a market share of 36%.The foodtech market in SEA has just begun to gain traction and is still in the very early stages.Product penetration of plant-based meat substitutes is less than 1%in major SEA economies like Indonesia and Malaysia.As a result,most of the recent innovations in food
260、 products such as plant-based meat and dairy are imported into the region from more developed markets like North America and Europe,contributing to a higher lead time in product procurement,high shipping and logistics cost,and a low remaining shelf life.In addition,supply chain practices to keep the
261、 products fresh longer and allow them to last the transportation distance make the current supply chain model costly.Sub-sector:FoodtechFoodtech is a nascent industry,especially in SEA,and has only just begun to gain traction.Its enablers and challenges are different from the traditional food indust
262、ry,as the former is in its growth stage while the latter is a mature and well-established industry.Plant-based protein and dairy products are in the early-stages of commercialization whereas lab-based protein products still face early-stage R&D and consumer adoption challenges.The strengths required
263、 for a well-established foodtech industry are spread across countries in SEA such as agrarian capabilities in Myanmar and Cambodia;and R&D,innovation and a conducive manufacturing ecosystem in Singapore.Singapore is well-placed to helm the development of the regional industry.34|Investing in Southea
264、st Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chains2.Underdeveloped supply chain of an early-stage sector There are many factors that are slowing the momentum of the development of a well-established supply chain for the industry.These include the following:Producers of raw materials,alternative pro
265、teins and aquaculture are low in scale with low tech-enablement,which makes the sourcing of raw materials fragmented.The lack of regional infrastructure or localized R&D required to manufacture plant-based protein and dairy prevents players from leveraging the substantial supply of raw materials suc
266、h as rice and mung bean available in Asia.Manufacturers currently have less incentive to invest in establishing dedicated supply chains for the sector as they are unclear about the profit margins and growth of the sector.This makes it even harder to establish partnerships in the sector.Due to a lack
267、 of industry awareness,there is no well-established marketplace where suppliers and buyers can locate one another.There are very few visible players at each level of the supply chain and interaction between them is not streamlined,resulting in high supply volatility.3.Varied regulatory standards hin
268、der high-scale production The regulatory framework surrounding foods differs among the various SEA countries.For example,Thailand does not allow the cultivation of any genetically modified products,while Vietnam does not allow their import.In addition,different markets also have different safety sta
269、ndards to adhere to.The heterogeneous regulatory nature of the region makes it difficult for firms to set up extensive and centralized capabilities.In the absence of a standard regulatory framework,companies will have to invest substantial funds and resources to uniquely cater to each market,weakeni
270、ng the economic case for the development of foodtech in the region.The presence of a standardized regulatory landscape will make it feasible for players to benefit from economies of scale in the regional market.4.Lack of skilled talent to assist in the high-tech supply chain Foodtech companies are s
271、truggling to find the right talent to integrate into the industry as the skill set required by employees in this subsector is different from the traditional food sector.The industry requires integration of subjects like tissue engineering,synthetic biology and plant physiology with food science.Curr
272、ently,there is a lack of such niche educational resources required to train people.This also adds to the delay in setting up R&D,manufacturing and supply chain capabilities in the region.Solutions1.Leverage Singapore as the regional hub for the development of the foodtech industry Companies should l
273、ook toward Singapore for establishing their regional presence in the foodtech sector as the country is well-positioned to be at the center of the regions foodtech revolution.It already has a conducive ecosystem in place that it plans to develop even further for companies to leverage and cater to the
274、 high-growth potential Asian market for the following reasons:It was ranked second worldwide in the ease of doing business(2020).43 It has strong intellectual property protection laws.A vibrant ecosystem of more than 850 food manufacturers can help new players in rapid R&D and product testing and of
275、fers collaborative manufacturing capabilities.There are well-established capabilities in cold storage logistics.It is an established trading hub with distribution networks for SEA that can facilitate import of raw materials and the export of finished goods in the region.Strong interest from investor
276、s in the sector makes it easy for start-ups to secure funding.Next Gen Foods,a start-up offering plant-based chicken called TiNDLE,set up its Asian headquarters in Singapore.It recently bagged US$10m in seed funding from investors,including Temasek,K3 Ventures and EDB New Ventures,which is the arm s
277、et up to catalyze corporate venturing in Singapore.35Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chain|It has a strong government focus on the sector,including initiatives such as FoodInnovate,a multi-agency initiative to grow the manufacturing industry through innovation as wel
278、l as help companies create and commercialize products faster and sell to a larger market.It has a higher availability of a skilled talent pool.Together,all these factors make Singapore the ideal hub for companies to launch their regional operations,and players are beginning to recognize that.Thai Un
279、ion,a Thai seafood player,has set up its SEA regional operations in Singapore dedicated to foodtech ventures.Singapore will support the industry at its current growth stage,working together with regional players to develop the foodtech sectors in other SEA countries.2.Develop R&D capabilities within
280、 the region that are collaborative in nature The success of the regional foodtech industry is dependent on developing products that meet the regions regulatory standards and consumer tastes.An increased focus on R&D and product innovation can accelerate the momentum of industry development.Singapore
281、s well-established R&D capabilities,high investment in product innovations and ample supply of skilled professionals make it well-prepared to become an ideal location as the R&D hub for foodtech in the region.There is also a US$107m44 investment in the Singapore Food Story R&D Programme by Singapore
282、 Food Agency and A*STAR to support the development and use of productive and innovative technologies for agriculture and aquaculture.The Singapore Governments efforts to boost the foodtech sectors are paying off as companies like Perfect Day have set up their R&D base in Singapore owing to the well-
283、established ecosystem that they can tap into.In a first-of-its-kind partnership,two Swiss companies,Buhler and Givaudan,have teamed up to launch an APAC protein innovation center to develop plant-based food that caters to the Asian palate in Singapore.3.Tap into regulatory incentives and collaborati
284、on SEA countries should work together to standardize regulations on food safety,the adoption of biotechnology in agriculture and the use of pesticides.Such standardization can help the trading bloc compete aggressively with established markets such as North America and Australia.Singapore becoming t
285、he first country globally to approve cultured meat is a step in the right direction.The country is well-positioned to initiate the development of regional standards and share best practices in this sector.This will lay the foundation for SEA countries to work together and adopt these standards.4.Exp
286、lore training programs to create a skilled talent pool Setting up an efficient supply chain is only part of the solution.Training employees to run the supply chain efficiently is what makes the solution robust and sustainable.Governments should provide support to national educational institutions fo
287、r developing courses based on relevant subjects such as plant physiology and tissue engineering to bridge the gap between the talent required and its supply.Leading universities in Singapore such as the National University of Singapore and research institutions like A*STAR can develop such training
288、programs and share the learning framework with other institutions in SEA or work to collaborate with them to nurture a skilled talent pool in the region.As companies continue to develop their supply chain practices,employee training should proceed in tandem.36|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining
289、 manufacturing and supply chains5Industry perspectives37Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chain|Case studiesSector:Consumer goodsThis is a global consumer products company operating out of APAC with competencies in brand building,supply chain excellence,productivity an
290、d go-to-market strategy.Like most of the world,its primary challenges originated from the disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.Lockdowns in key manufacturing regions,as well as ocean freight capacity and cost challenges,have made it imperative to focus on building supply chain resilience.It a
291、ims to do so by enabling constructive disruptions in automation technologies and utilizing digital twin capabilities to go from descriptive to predictive and cognitive analytics.They have chosen SEA and Singapore specifically for some key contributing factors.The geographical advantage of Singapore
292、plays a big role in supply chain operations and logistics.The availability of talent,retention and growth across the region makes it a crucial determining factor in the companys growth.Furthermore,the attractive business environment with the support of local governments makes the region a key node f
293、or the companys supply chain as well as R&D.Sector:Health care equipmentThis is a global medical devices manufacturer with key competencies in reliability,innovation,collaboration and social responsibility.It has a complex and fragmented APAC supply chain planning network with teams situated across
294、various markets such as Japan,South Korea,New Zealand and Singapore for SEA.Its current supply chain is fragmented with decentralized teams,a lack of standardized processes,a lack of end-to-end visibility and data integration,inconsistent service levels and excessive inventory and write-off costs.To
295、 manage its supply chain challenges,talent shortages,business cost pressures and evolving customer demand,it is embarking on a transformation journey to get to best-in-class supply chain planning to drive innovation,support business growth and exceed customer expectations.It has chosen SEA to embark
296、 on this journey.It has also chosen Singapore as its APAC regional headquarters as it is a key transportation hub with an integrated and efficient freight and distribution network.Furthermore,with its political stability and government support such as tax incentives and sponsored grants(e.g.,those p
297、rovided by EDB Singapore),SEA proved to be an attractive region to grow its business.SEA also provides a significant talent pool with respect to skills as well as language considerations.38|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chainsSector:Automotive OEMIn 2021,a leading
298、auto parts manufacturer collaborated with EY teams to build a centralized,APAC-wide supply chain control tower with Singapore as the hub.Through the partnership,the entity envisioned to digitalize its supply chain processes.This enabled informed decision-making,a robust review through dashboards and
299、 reports,as well as monitoring of supply chain functional KPIs(like planning,sourcing and production)seamlessly without the need for any manual data crunching.The system enabled the entitys drive toward efficiency,visibility of information and automation.The increase in data visibility allowed for a
300、 deeper level of data analytics as well as better benchmarking and assessment of countermeasures effectiveness.The entity continues to foresee SEAs significant contribution in gaining deeper visibility in emerging countries,building supply chain resilience and a lean yet effective supply chain netwo
301、rk.SEA provided the entity with a favorable mix of attractive locations and policies,a unique blend of low costs and specialty skills,and relatively free access to both regional and global markets.Sector:FoodtechA cutting-edge foodtech company operating out of APAC and EMEIA is renowned for its plan
302、t-based food products that are cholesterol-free,with less saturated fat and the same amount of protein compared with conventional alternatives.They are manufactured sustainably,free of slaughter,deforestation and zoonotic disease.Like various organizations around the world,it faces challenges that o
303、riginated from the current pandemic.It is unable to meet the rising demands in manufacturing due to a lack of production facilities,high labor cost and heightened worker safety due to the contagious nature of COVID-19.The pandemic has also taken a toll on logistics with rising international shipping
304、 rates and shipment delays.Furthermore,rising R&D costs created barriers to scaling up production and improving existing technology.The company believes that SEA will be the next frontier for growth with the maturation of the millennials and Gen Z,it believes that the pace of adoption of emerging co
305、nsumer trends will accelerate.Furthermore,SEA provides a business-friendly environment with political stability,a diverse talent pool as well as supportive government policies.SEA is also strategically located to facilitate market entry and expansion as it is positioned at the center of a vibrant AP
306、AC region,thereby giving it a market advantage for expansion into locations such as India,mainland China,Taiwan,Japan and South Korea.With the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic,there has been accelerated digitalization and tech innovation movements where many foodtech companies have seen tremendous gro
307、wth and interest from consumers in SEA.39Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chains|Gateway for manufacturing in SEASoutheast Asia Manufacturing Alliance(SMA)Businesses can diversify their supply chains in SEA with the SMA,which gives access to different production locat
308、ions across the region:Indonesia,Malaysia,Singapore and Vietnam.An initiative by the EDB,Enterprise Singapore(ESG),and private sector partners,the SMA connects companies with a network of trusted partners to navigate and grow in the diverse SEA region with confidence.The Singapore+ModelBusinesses ca
309、n combine the synergistic advantages of dual locations in SEA with the“SG+1”twinning model,tapping into Singapore as a globally connected business hub for innovation and corporate activities with cost-competitive manufacturing locations a short flight away.With the SMA,manufacturers can build more r
310、esilient and efficient supply chains by leveraging the complementary advantages of Singapore and the region.40|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chains6Key trends and developments41Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chain|Regional Comprehe
311、nsive Economic Partnership(RCEP)The RCEP now introduces a new FTA for trade flows for China-Japan and Japan-South Korea.In addition to all the positive parties who are in,it is also important to see who in the region is not(yet)in,like major economies or business hubs such as India or Greater China.
312、While the tariff reductions may not be the most aggressive,with a long runway of 20 years to fully achieve the reductions,the RCEP still sends a very positive message about economic integration that covers 30%of the world economy.Many factors drive the requirements for the optimal design of supply c
313、hains and operating models in Asia,including the need for resilience and agility.Long-term trends like the rise of production costs in mainland China and the demographic promise of the SEA markets have merged with the recent trade disputes to drive the center of gravity of supply chain networks west
314、ward in Asia.At the same time,mainland China offers very strong integrated clusters in many industries like consumer electronics and automotive and is itself a must-win market from a size and growth perspective.Where and how can the RCEP impact supply chain design?Facilitating multi-stage and networ
315、k supply chains:The RCEP provides clarity and certainty regarding qualification by standardizing origin criteria and allowing cumulative origin,i.e.,where different parts and components are added in different countries.Make regional distribution easier:Operating regional distribution centers(RDC)can
316、 be cumbersome if different goods have different origins for different FTAs.Under the RCEP,this would be much easier to handle.Position mainland China as a North Asia hub alternative:Mainland China could be an interesting location for subregional manufacturing and trading hubs as one can combine the
317、 benefits from high-tech incentive regimes or free trade zones with the new RCEP trade facilities.Influence competition for business hubs:Over the past few years,Hong Kong has steadily lost ground as a trading hub location to competitors like Singapore.Singapores RCEP member status may give the coun
318、try an edge over Hong Kong,even as the city builds on its position as the gateway to mainland China.Therefore,with the possibility of more nations joining the RCEP,it would strengthen the case for locating so-called value-based services and digital services hubs in countries that are RCEP members.Wh
319、en designing the supply chain for the future,several aspects need to be considered.The RCEP provides several positive factors that will increase competitiveness for a key region.42|Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chainsInvestments in infrastructure for improved suppl
320、y chain and manufacturing As Singapore sets out to reinvent the maritime industry,it is making bold investments in port infrastructure and terminal development.The new Tuas port,located in the southwestern corner of Singapore,will ramp up the countrys cargo capacity by 15m TEUs(20-foot equivalent un
321、its),consolidate 5 individual container terminals,and create new jobs.It will use state-of-the-art technology such as automated drones and big-data analytics to carry out operations and boost productivity of the tight labor market.Other states in SEA have embarked on similar journeys.Vietnam has dev
322、eloped a seaport master plan for 2021-30 with the aims of enhancing infrastructure connectivity,reducing logistics costs and promoting marine economic development.In Malaysia,the Industry4WRD National Policy on Industry 4.0 was launched to increase adoption of digital technologies in the manufacturi
323、ng and related services sectors.The Government has allocated MYR210m to focus on labor productivity growth,manufacturing contribution to the economy,innovation capacity and creation of highly skilled jobs in this sector.Emergence of new technologiesIn SEA,Singapore is the leader in adoption of emerg
324、ing technologies such as IoT,AI and blockchain in manufacturing,warehousing and logistics.Apart from a flurry of private companies and start-ups cropping up in the republic,the Government is injecting large sums of money into the development of these technologies.Blockchain-enabled bill of lading:Th
325、e Singapore Governments TradeTrust project is built on blockchain-enabled bill of lading to strengthen Singapores position as a global maritime hub.Initiatives led by IBM and PIL have been successful in this area.Electronic documentation in conjunction with blockchain can lower bureaucratic costs,he
326、lp reduce fraud and cut processing times.Additionally,saving time reduces the cost of trade finance.Automated warehousing and picking:Singapores precision engineering firm,PBA group,has been using the patent-pending Golden Retriever Automated Robot,which automates inventory storage and replenishment
327、 and transports items within production,warehouse,fulfillment,and distribution centers.SESTO Robotics,a Singapore-based start-up,is significantly improving efficiency and productivity in labor-intensive industries such as semiconductor manufacturing.The robots enable the movement of materials betwee
328、n workstations and bulky items to warehouses.Development of sharing economyWith Singapore and the Philippines passing legislation targeted toward peer-to-peer platforms acting as enablers,SEAs sharing economy is on the rise.Consumers are hoovering up goods and services in nearly every area imaginabl
329、e from point-to-point transport and bicycles to accommodation and co-working spaces typically at a low cost.The three most common sharing economy models in SEA have seen continued growth in these areas:Car and bicycle sharing as well as ride-hailing with companies such as Grab and Gojek dominating t
330、he sector Sharing of home and workspaces making inroads Peer-to-peer rental such as Singapore-based Rent Tycoons,an online marketplace for all rentals,and Malaysia-based start-up Moovby,which deals with car rentalsIntegration of a“sharing first”model into supply chains creates flexibility and agilit
331、y.For example,businesses might participate in co-managed collaboration sharing people or physical assets,planning technology and data or reporting.This could mean greater convenience and highly involved stakeholders due to the nature of“sharing first”.Specifically,a company could pair up with a thir
332、d-party delivery service to achieve same-day delivery or find new and innovative ways to deal with unsold inventory such as renting it out to other businesses.43Investing in Southeast Asia Reimagining manufacturing and supply chain|Green and sustainable infrastructure investmentSEA is often categori
333、zed as a relatively slow-progressing region in the renewables space.However,the region has witnessed promising recent developments in the area of sustainability.Vietnam,the Philippines,Malaysia and Thailand are expected to spearhead the clean energy movement over the next two years.For instance,Vietnam recorded a boost in solar power development in 2019-20 alone.SEA regional leaders re-emphasized