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1、The GEOINT PlaybookReport by Space CapitalAn investment thesis on the future of geospatial intelligence and our outlook on digitizing the physical world.2The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital Executive SummaryThis is largely due to the proliferation of spatial analysis;a critical feature of mo
2、dern enterprise and consumer applications.Yet despite the growth in geospatial data creation and,subsequently,the tools to conduct geospatial analysis,working with this type of information remains complex and the number of products limited.This is in large part due to the broader industry-wide trend
3、 of market consolidation amongst existing incumbents and well-funded technology startups.3 This points to a conflicting theme within the geospatial stack:companies that begin as a modular technology stack(unbundled)then evolve into a vertically integrated software solution(bundled).The new“As-a-serv
4、ice”paradigm has unlocked scalable modular development across compute,storage,application programing interfaces(APIs),etc.and is accelerating the pace of innovation.In this playbook we will walk through our thesis,which analyzes geospatial intelligence(GEOINT)through the lens of technology layers:In
5、frastructure,Distribution,and Applications.This framework helps us connect the dots from the origin and constraints of the geospatial stack to evolution and inflection within the market.It also helps us see the larger role that space-based technology plays in an ecosystem that intersects with the mo
6、dern tech industry and serves customers across a wide variety of markets.Key TakeawaysThe global geospatial1 market is expected to grow from$63.1 billion to$147.6 billion in the next five years.2 Application:A seemingly infinite number of venture-scale businesses are now being built in multi-trillio
7、n dollar global industries like Agriculture,Insurance,Climate Markets,and Augmented Reality,with the market potential looking similar to Location-based Services when the iPhone first embedded GPS.Infrastructure:A variety of geospatial sensor platforms now capture data at different altitudes,benefiti
8、ng from low-cost components,commoditized storage/compute,and decades of geographic information systems(GIS)product development.Distribution:Adoption of cloud,AI/ML capabilities,and increasingly powerful APIs and software development kits(SDKs)are expanding the user base and applications beyond data
9、engineers,GIS specialists,and subject matter experts.3The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital Executive SummaryNASA began to develop observation technology to better understand our planet at scale(remote sensing)in the 1960s.Landsat 1 was launched in 1972 and the resulting data proved capable of
10、 serving a range of applications including agriculture,forestry,mapping,geology,hydrology,coastal resources,and environmental monitoring.Around the same time,Esri,a geographic information system(GIS),became the first company to digitize mapping information for commercial use.This early form of quant
11、itative and computational geography enabled users to see the promise of working with large geospatial datasets to understand where things happen(patterns,clusters,hot spots),why they happen,when they happen(location decision),and where things should be located(optimization).As a result of this techn
12、ology,a standard for interacting with geospatial data was established:data as layers(raster and vector),where each layer can be stacked on top of one another and analysis can be done at any level.Geographic Information System(GIS).(Source:City of Newberg)4The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital
13、Executive SummaryThen,in the 1990s and 2000s,significant advancements in computational infrastructure enabled technical innovations that changed mapping.Although domain-knowledge was still required to interact with geospatial data,three technical innovations unlocked never before seen functionality:
14、1)GPUs were released and became a standard in rendering complex multidimensional scenes,2)APIs gained traction amongst developers for serving and requesting all types of data,and 3)the internet gained traction which educated the modern consumer on the advantages and convenience of web mapping(naviga
15、tion).In the 1990s,a group of engineers at Intrinsic Graphics unknowingly developed the core technology behind Google Earth;3D graphics libraries for video games.Shortly after the release of their inaugural demo,the team created a company called Keyhole in order to improve the product stack to strea
16、m interactive 3-D maps with satellite imagery and aerial photographs.4 Then,in 2004,Google acquired Keyhole,the then three-year old digital-mapping software company.5,6 Historically,Keyhole was primarily used for defense;this acquisition expanded Googles business line for commercial use cases(includ
17、ing advertising).The adoption of cloud,edge computing,AI/ML capabilities,and increasingly powerful geospatial APIs and SDKs are making the benefits of geospatial intelligence more accessible.Developers no longer need to be experts in image capture,data processing,or object detection,and instead can
18、focus on building specialized applications tailored to unique customer needs.Demand for geospatial data is being quantified through marketplaces and used to inform what sensors and platforms will be built in the future.The ability to collect,process,and analyze endless geospatial data is creating po
19、werful new applications that are helping to reshape how entire industries operate and transform our relationship with our planet.Today,the use of small satellites and commercial off-the-shelf components has made it more cost effective to capture timely geospatial data at a global scale.5The GEOINT P
20、laybook|Report by Space Capital Infrastructure6Distribution22Applications39Conclusion52Primary Research53Endnotes54ContentsThe GEOINT Playbook6The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital Infrastructure7The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital We refer to Infrastructure as the hardware and softwar
21、e to build and capture geospatial data.Today,a variety of geospatial platforms capture data at different altitudes,benefiting from low-cost components,commoditized storage/compute,and decades of GIS product development.Ground-Station and Edge-as-a-Service have fundamentally changed the way geospatia
22、l solutions are built and are delivering more timely,actionable data.The next evolution of geospatial companies will look and feel more like developer tools and deep tech companies focused on the power of computing and AI/ML.Key TakeawaysInfrastructurePrincipally,this includes networks of connected
23、devices that sense input from the physical environment(sensors ranging from satellites to smart phones).This information creates the foundation to understand our world,from the movement of people and goods to the health of our crops and changes in the weather.For more than 60 years,geospatial produc
24、ts that visualize information through maps and reports have provided a powerful tool to understand our physical world.Satellites transformed modern mapping from static approximations into dynamic reflections of our planet and the activity on it.In the early 2010s,the use of small satellites and comm
25、ercial off-the-shelf components made it more cost effective to capture timely geospatial data.However,downlink bandwidth was limited and prohibitively expensive,latency was considerable,and computer memory and processing power were scarce.Further,there were no common file formats that determined how
26、 data should be managed.Verticalized solutions were built to address the gaps in frameworks and shared infrastructure.This fragmentation stemmed from the fact that geospatial intelligence,and its builders,never intended their systems to be interoperable.Instead,the technology was designed to provide
27、 closed solutions,with controlled economics,serving a small subset of high value customers.This is now changing with the rapid growth in data collection and the highly specialized processing and analytics capabilities that remove the barriers to adoption.8The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital
28、InfrastructureIn the 1960s NASA began to develop observational technology,focused on the underlying scientific measurements required to inform technology development.The Landsat constellation began with the launch of Landsat 1 in 1972 and continues to this day,providing the worlds longest continuous
29、ly acquired collection of space-based land remote sensing data.7 Similarly,since 2014 the European Space Agency has launched Sentinel missions,clusters of two remote sensing satellites,including radar and super-spectral imaging.Although it was initiated as a research activity,data from the Landsat s
30、ystem soon proved capable of serving a range of applications including agriculture,forestry,mapping,geology,hydrology,coastal resources,and environmental monitoring.While the Landsat commercialization efforts were abandoned in the mid-1990s,the underlying data was utilized by numerous businesses,gov
31、ernments,and scientific organizations.Recent studies estimated the annual economic value generated from the Landsat archive at about$3.5 billion in 2017,up from$2.2 billion in 2011.8 The development of these space-based remote sensing platforms laid the foundation for new platforms to emerge and be
32、integrated into the geospatial stack.SatellitesThere has been exponential growth in the number and type of satellites launched over the past decade.In fact,there were 971 remote sensing satellites in orbit as of April 2021,a 42%increase in just 3 years.9 The global Satellite Earth Observation(EO)mar
33、ket was valued$3.6 billion in 2021 and is predicted to reach$7.9 billion by 2030.10 This rapid growth is being driven by the commoditization of launch services and computing that have lowered the barriers to entry for new data providers.Data at Global ScaleNumber of active satellites from 1957 to 20
34、21Earth Observation Data Cubes DATA AT A GLOBAL SCALE(Source:Jonathan C.McDowell)(Source:United Nations)9The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital InfrastructureNASAs Space Shuttle had a cost of$1.5 billion to launch to Low Earth Orbit(LEO)at$54,000 per kg and between 1970 and 2010,the cost to lau
35、nch a kilogram to space averaged around$18,500.12 SpaceX was able to reduce launch costs nearly 19 times by vertically integrating production to reduce costs,forcing competition through transparent pricing,and successfully achieving partial reusability.13 Today,a SpaceX Falcon 9 block 5 rocket costs
36、$62 million to launch at around$2,500 per kg to LEO,14 while the cost of a Falcon Heavy averages around$1,400 to LEO.15 SpaceXs Starship aims to become the worlds largest and only fully reusable launch vehicle,which will further lower the cost of launch to$10 to$20 per kg to LEO.16 This has made it
37、more affordable to launch satellites and has attracted new entrants.Processing capacity has been another key barrier to utilizing complex data captured by satellites.In 1971,Intel released their first complete general-purpose Central Processing Unit(CPU)to help advance integrated electronics.CPUs ar
38、e responsible for a computers main functions including input,processing,data storage,and output.In addition to handling critical functionality,they were also responsible for rendering graphics.However,a driving interest in more performant rendering abilities led engineers to develop Graphics Process
39、ing Units(GPUs).In 1999,NVIDIA introduced the first widely available GPU,which included a rendering engine capable of processing 10 million polygons per second;several years later that number increased to 38 billion per second.17 This step change in performance was made possible by the architecture
40、of the GPU-while a CPU handles jobs sequentially(better at calculation)a GPU parallelizes jobs(better at rendering).In 2009,researchers discovered the GPUs promise in building and training machine learning applications.This has led to a new paradigm of GPU-accelerated computing that makes large comp
41、lex data sets usable in real time.“By adding a CUDA powered GPU to the mix we were able to speed up processing capabilities 250 x.This turned looking at 10 years of observation data from an impossible task,to one that could be done in a week.”Brian Furtaw,Senior Data Scientist specializing in GPU ha
42、rdware and software solutions for ML/AI programs,NVIDIAHistorically,launch costs had been a major hurdle to access space.Satellites can weigh thousands of kilograms and be as large as a school bus.11DATA AT A GLOBAL SCALE10The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital Infrastructure“NVIDIAs platform i
43、s powering everything from simulation to design and operations to asset management on orbit.”Geoffrey Levine,Director of Worldwide AI Initiatives and Global Public Sector Defense,Climate Action and Space,NVIDIASimilar to that of GPUs,Application-specific Integrated Circuits(ASICs)have gained tractio
44、n in recent years.These chip designs apply hardware and computing configurations to solve a specific problem.One well-known example is Googles Tensor Processing Units(TPUs),an Application-specific Integrated Circuit designed to accelerate machine learning workloads.TPUs accelerate the performance of
45、 linear algebra computation by minimizing the time-to-accuracy when training large complex neural networks;training models that used to take weeks,in hours.18 Most ASICs have become focused on speeding up the time to train models;as advancements in hardware evolve to meet the demands for application
46、s development and better enable machine learning and deep learning workflows.Advances at the chipset level have made it possible to not only capture more geospatial data,but also derive insights from it.The changes in processing have also impacted consumer electronics,providing smaller,more powerful
47、 smartphones,and ultimately changing the way satellites are built.Since the early 2010s,satellite engineers began to adopt a new approach of using lean,low-cost,and highly integrated components made for automobiles,mobile phones,and other consumer electronics to develop small and cost-effective sate
48、llites.This opened up the possibility of using commercial off the shelf(COTS)components to create standardized satellite buses from a larger pool of technology suppliers,which significantly reduced the time and cost of development.These changes have allowed new satellite companies to experiment with
49、 state-of-the-art systems,de-risk technical challenges early,increase iterations with fewer expenditures,and achieve incremental revenues as a constellation is being built.GPU vs CPU on Matrix ManipulationDATA AT A GLOBAL SCALE(Source:Qubole)The founding of Skybox Imaging in 2009 is an early example
50、 of these trends converging.The company set out to build a fleet of satellites flying in low Earth orbit(LEO).The team recognized the serious drawback to long development cycles of large satellites and sought to build a cheaper,faster solution by assembling off-the-shelf parts and applying rapid ite
51、rative engineering.19 Space Capital Managing Partner,Tom Ingersoll,was brought in to lead the company and prove the technical viability of this approach.The team launched their first satellite in November 2013 and Skybox became the earliest commercial remote sensing company to deliver high-quality o
52、ptical imaging from a small satellite form factor.In 2014,Tom led the sale of Skybox to Google for$500 million,achieving one of the largest venture-backed exits in the space economy at the time.A wave of new remote sensing companies soon followed including Planet(NYSE:PL,founded 2010),Spire(NYSE:SPI
53、R,founded 2012),and ICEYE(founded 2014).The next generation of remote sensing companies are providing Satellites-as-a-service and developing highly-targeted scientific instruments to improve decision making for commercial,civil,and defense customers.Muon Space,a Menlo Park company founded by former
54、Skybox engineers,is at the forefront of identifying key signals that go beyond traditional sensors.Their approach builds on the scientific foundations developed at NASA while leveraging low-cost commercial satellite infrastructure to achieve higher sampling cadences and more rapid and responsive mis
55、sion development.Jonny Dyer,CEO and Co-founder,ultimately envisions his work will provide data-driven tools to respond to the most complex questions associated with climate change.The company will require multiple space-based platforms to experiment,iterate,and validate predictive signals capable of
56、 understanding and simulating Earths climate.InfrastructureSatellite Pros Global monitoring,best for macro view Large existing body of open source scientific imagery-based data products Low to high resolution:30m+10cm(VLEO)Satellite Cons High CapEx relative to alternative methods Expensive for resol
57、utions 2M Challenging to leverage data without geospatial expertise11+DATA AT A GLOBAL SCALEThe GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital Skybox Imaging satellites being build in clean room.(Source:TechCrunch)12The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital These platforms rely on a variety of technologi
58、es ranging from stratospheric balloons and drones to vehicle mounted sensors and handheld devices.Each of these capabilities provide unique perspectives,benefits,and cost structures that can compliment satellite systems in geospatial analysis.New PerspectivesInfrastructureStratospheric BalloonsThe g
59、lobal High Altitude Platforms(HAPs)market is expected to reach$4.3 billion by 2026,20 an increase from$3.4 billion in 2022 and over 400%increase from$1.0 billion in 2016.21 This includes both balloons and airships that are able to operate in the stratosphere.These stratospheric platforms have a uniq
60、ue ability to provide persistent coverage over a localized area at a competitive cost when compared with existing alternatives(satellites,aircraft,drones).The data acquired from these assets have been used in industries with a large set of fixed real estate assets like insurance,transportation,energ
61、y,and conservation.Remote-controlled vehicles can also be used for climate science,disaster recovery and response,and military surveillance.NEW PERSPECTIVESToday,a variety of geospatial platforms capture data at different altitudes,benefiting from low-cost components,commoditized storage/compute,and
62、 decades of GIS product development.Geospatial platforms.(Source:Space Capital)13The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital WorldView captures geospatial data using its high-altitude balloon,called a Stratollite.It is designed to carry payloads of up to 4,500kg and provide the capabilities of a sat
63、ellite,but without the launch costs and development timelines.Hovering above Earths surface at controlled altitudes of 55,000 to 75,000 feet,the specialized stratocraft would float almost twice as high as a typical commercial airline,giving it a more global view than aircraft,but closer to the Earth
64、 than a typical satellite,and therefore able to provide higher resolution.The remote-controlled Unmanned Aircraft System(UAS)can be used for a variety of applications,such as,disaster recovery and response,communication,weather forecasting,and military surveillance.For its test flight,the solar-powe
65、red Stratollite carried multiple payloads,including a 50.6-megapixel camera to demonstrate its potential as a viable high-altitude remote sensing platform.HAPs Pros Monitor specific assets,best for persistent micro view Cheaper data collection than satellites Faster development and deployment timeli
66、nes vs satellites(does not require integration and launch)Ability to monitor a specific place for long periods of time High resolution data:10cmHAPs Cons Specific regions/geographies(not global)Experimental when compared with more traditional forms of collection like Drones and Aircraft+World View k
67、eeps one of its high-altitude balloons afloat for a record 16 days.(Source:The Verge)Worldview geospatial platform in-flight.(Source:World View)InfrastructureNEW PERSPECTIVES14InfrastructureAircraftAerial photography is a human-in-the-loop data collection method that includes collecting photographs
68、using an airborne camera.For this type of data collection,it requires well-trained interpreters and pilots who have experience flying over and capturing“fine-scale landscape features.”22 Until the popularization of drone technology,the pursuit of aerial photography was reserved for military,hobbyist
69、s,and commercial entities with access to aircraft.While most aerial monitoring use cases have been cannibalized by HAPs and drones,monitoring oilfields and conducting search and rescue missions are still well-suited for aerial surveillance.Aircraft are a great,affordable way to test sensors efficien
70、tly for other platforms,such as satellites.The data collected from aerial flights are then also often paired with satellite data as an alternative to ground-based monitoring to derive actionable insights.23 As of 2021,the aerial imaging market was valued at$2.0 billion and is expected to deliver a 1
71、5%CAGR in the next five years,reaching$4.6 billion in 2027.24One company that helped advance aerial imaging is Vexcel Imaging.Vexcel is based in Graz,Austria and was founded in 1992.It is a long-time leading provider of cutting-edge aerial imaging camera products and photogrammetry software.Their co
72、mprehensive lines of aerial cameras provide a wide range of imaging capabilities from wide-area mapping to nadir and oblique camera systems.Vexcels UltraCam Eagle was described as the only commercial sensor capable of capturing 10 cm GSD at 5,000 m above the ground.Vexcel was acquired by Microsoft i
73、n 2006 and became one of the underpinning technology providers of its Bing Maps web service and mapping platform.Microsofts UltraMap photogrammetry software solution helps customers generate aerial imagery and data such as high density point clouds,digital surface models and orthophotos efficiently.
74、Other than imagery,aircraft sensors are frequently used in capturing data for environmental monitoring.Montreal-based GHGSat has adapted their proprietary satellite sensing technology onto their patented aircrafts to accurately measure methane emissions and detect leaks.Aircraft Pros Monitors specif
75、ic assets,strong for micro view Cheaper to collect data than satellites Faster time to data collection than satellites Medium resolution data:6m-1mAircraft Cons Specific regions/geographies(not global)Expensive when compared to drones and HAPs+NEW PERSPECTIVESGHGSat(Source:GHGsats aerial sensors)The
76、 GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital 15InfrastructureDrones&UAVsNEW PERSPECTIVESDrone/UAV Pros Monitors specific assets,best for micro view Cheaper data collection than satellitesDrone/UAV Cons Specific regions/geographies(not global)Requires certified drone operators+The market for drones is ex
77、pected to grow from$3.0 billion in 2021 to around$3.6 billion by the end of this year and reach$4.6 billion by 2027.25 Goldman Sachs has a more aggressive market sizing with estimates of the drone industry reaching$100.0 billion.While 70%of the market is still driven by military use,the remaining 30
78、%is fueled by the rapid growth in commercial use cases in construction,agriculture,insurance claims,and offshore oil/gas and refining activities.Remote-controlled drones have played an important role in lowering the cost and increasing the safety profile of collecting geospatial data in physically d
79、angerous environments.In agriculture,insurance adjusters are using tools that visualize the plant health in real time so that users can“evaluate damage at the fields edge”and receive quantifiable results.This enables software solutions provided by companies like DroneDeploy to act as a“mediation too
80、l for farmers and adjusters”by providing high-quality and reliable geospatial data.26 Another exciting technical advancement for drones has been the integration of GPS technology with these devices,which has made it possible to fly drones over much larger distances and beyond visible line of sight.T
81、his unlocks new use cases for operators and commercial customers that are certified to operate a drone under Part 107 guidelines.27 This ensures drone operators are abiding within set parameters for controlled(well-populated areas)and uncontrolled airspace.New FAA approved mapping products have emer
82、ged to help hobbyists and commercial operators meet the standards and criteria set across airspace.While most drones operate outdoors,startups like Ware have built autonomous drones for the warehouse.This curtails the need to adhere to regulation since drones are operating indoors.Built with proprie
83、tary software,Ware allows large Enterprise customers like Bosch and Honeywell to capture,process,and report deliveries to warehouse managers without a warehouse worker.28The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital 16The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital Ground SensorsGround collection is the o
84、ldest method of acquiring geospatial data and is still the most widely adopted.Sensors are deployed at fixed locations or mounted on mobile platforms.Fixed sensors tend to be in close proximity to an area of interest and can produce continuous monitoring at the highest resolutions unattended.Fixed s
85、olutions tend to be used in industries like agriculture and mining.The market size of the fixed sensors is expected to grow moderately at a 4.7%CAGR,from$2.0 billion in 2022 to$2.8 billion by 2028.29 Mobile sensors include those mounted on vehicles and hand-held devices.The most well known mobile gr
86、ound sensing project is Google Street View.Started 15 years ago,Google has collected street view imagery across the globe.This service is now accessible to users in over 100 countries and has accumulated over 220 billion images.Google relied on a variety of mobile platforms to collect the data inclu
87、ding driving,pedaling,sailing,and walking.The custom built cameras simultaneously collect images in multiple directions and are instantly geotagged.The imagery is then overlapped and stitched together into a single 360-degree image.Dashcams are emerging as a cost-effective way of capturing timely st
88、reet level data at scale.Hivemapper,a San Francisco based company,is aiming to solve this challenge by building a decentralized,self-updating map powered by individuals using proprietary dash cams.Contributors will be rewarded with Hivemappers own cryptocurrency for capturing data as they drive.This
89、 new approach represents a potential shift in how maps are built,who owns them,and potential for near real-time updates.In addition to cameras,car mounted LiDAR sensors are now being used in semi-autonomous and autonomous vehicles.These sensors can help capture detailed renderings of physical infras
90、tructure including buildings,roads,lights,etc.The processed data provides a 360 degree view of the assets location and condition,as well as any factors that are affecting visibility or accessibility,such as vegetation encroachment.InfrastructureHow Google Street View Gets Its Pictures.(Source:Reader
91、s Digest)Hivemapper Dashcam.(Source:Hivemapper)NEW PERSPECTIVES17The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital InfrastructureGround Sensors Cons Specific regions/geographies but can reach scale with relatively inexpensive sensors deployed Privacy concerns becoming more apparentGround Sensors Pros Moni
92、tors specific assets,macro view at scale Cheaper data collection vs satellites Faster time to data collection vs satellites Ability to monitor a specific place for long periods of time Highest resolution data:1mm+Google VPS illustrated in Google Maps(Source:9to5Google)Handheld devices,especially sma
93、rtphones,have become a powerful geospatial platform.NEW PERSPECTIVESModern smartphones are equipped with a variety of sensors and as a result,every person with a smartphone becomes a part of a larger crowdsourcing effort to create a detailed understanding of human activity at a micro and macro level
94、.Geotagged photos and videos provide a tremendous amount of spatial data that is useful in a variety of applications.Snapchat allows users to tag photos with friends and visualize where friends are on Snapmap via the mobile app.Another excellent example is Los Angeles-based dataPlor,that leverages m
95、achine learning to interpret smartphone photos in addition to AI callbots to update the Point-of-Interest(POI)data of local businesses at scale.dataPlor has collected over 150 million POI data available in 100 countries across the globe.Wearables,like Apple Watch,have also become a popular form of g
96、round sensors that is growing rapidly.Geospatial data collected by the wearables are being used by healthcare professionals to better understand the relationships between different physical activities and body health,monitor patient recovery conditions,and send out alerts in emergency situations.The
97、 market size for mobile sensors is much larger than the fixed ones,as the smartphone sensor market alone is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 17%from 2022 to$379.0 billion in 2030.3018InfrastructureThe growing demand for timely access to data,particularly from satellites,has created bottlenecks that n
98、ecessitate innovation.Efforts to develop a shared ground station infrastructure and reduce costs date back to the late 1990s.Despite these efforts,entrepreneurial activity focused on capturing data outpaced innovations within the ground segment and the problem has persisted.Scalable solutions for sh
99、ared infrastructure are finally being built by the leading tech companies,enabling a new engineering paradigm.Among the key players developing Ground-Station-as-a-Service are Amazon,Microsoft,and Google.This transformation allows the entire processing chain to shift to the cloud,from the data acquis
100、ition phase to analytics and distribution,significantly lowering delivery latencies and increasing access to data.Resolving the BottleneckLearn more about the role satellite communication is playing to move internet traffic off the ocean floor and into space:Lessons from the History of Satellite Com
101、munications RESOLVING THE BOTTLENECKAs we have seen,satellites provide a powerful tool for collecting data and understanding our world on a global scale.But satellites are limited in terms of resolution and frequency,and benefit greatly from complementary data collected by balloons,drones,and ground
102、 sensors.As governments,enterprises,and customers increasingly rely on geospatial data for decision making,these platforms are becoming critical infrastructure.The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital 19The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital CompanyDateMilestone2018Amazon was one of the earl
103、iest Tech Giants to get involved in the space economy when in 2018,the company launched AWS Ground Station to provide a global network of ground stations in close proximity to the global network of AWS data centers.With AWS Ground Station,data providers no longer need to worry about buying,leasing,b
104、uilding,scaling,or managing their own ground stations.Later,the team launched a network of 3,236 satellites known as Project Kuiper to provide broadband internet access.2020Microsoft announced plans to compete with Amazon in connecting satellites to the Azure cloud for processing and storage.Azure O
105、rbital Ground Stations enable satellite operators to downlink data directly from a satellite to Azure Storage and then access additional services such as Azure AI and Azure Data Analytics.Their infrastructure also provides users with security and compliance built-in,reducing the risk for engineers t
106、hat were previously responsible for maintaining,building,and certifying their services.These ground stations are compatible with Non-Geostationary Earth Orbit satellites such as LEO and MEO satellites.322020Google is actively expanding ground station services to better support space companies.The co
107、mpany recently announced a partnership with Leaf Space providing Ground-Station-as-a-Service to the space ecosystem and further opening the doors for the development of the space economy.They also announced a partnership with SpaceX to connect SpaceXs Starlink satellite broadband network to the Goog
108、le Cloud infrastructure.33 This will enable the delivery of data,cloud services,and applications to enterprise customers at the networks edge.Ground-Stations-as-a-serviceAs previously noted,the reduction in launch costs has led to an increase in satellites in Low Earth Orbit(LEO)as opposed to geosta
109、tionary orbit(GEO).This is important because unlike GEO satellites,which are fixed,LEO satellites“move relative to the Earths surface.”This results in connectivity challenges since each LEO satellite requires line of sight to a ground antenna to facilitate space-to-ground communications.This has led
110、 to the entrance of companies attempting to address these problems by providing“global infrastructure of antennas,processing equipment,and software for satellite operators”.31InfrastructureRESOLVING THE BOTTLENECK20The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital Edge-as-a-serviceProcessing at the edge i
111、s becoming another important tool that can reduce delays,downlink bandwidth,and costs across geospatial platforms.Edge computing(or IoT edge processing)is the process of taking“action on data as near to the source as possible rather than in a central,remote data center,to reduce latency and bandwidt
112、h use”.34 Both hardware and software innovations are needed to unlock edge processing use cases given the challenges of processing data on device.CompanyDateMilestone2018Berlin-based Mobius Labs is building a new generation of AI-powered computer vision(CV)that can accurately detect objects using li
113、ghtweight models optimized for low-latency,low-data scenarios.Their solution is hardware agnostic and backwards compatible,providing the immediate benefits of edge processing across a wide range of geospatial platforms,from handheld cameras,to drones and satellites.Mobius supports both optical and s
114、ynthetic aperture radar(SAR)sensors,and outperforms other solutions using fewer annotated samples,reducing the time and cost to train new models for specialized object identification.2021An early stage Australian startup that is developing a proprietary edge computing technology that can reduce the
115、cost of downlinking satellite data by 5 to 20 x.They are developing the Space Edge computer-an onboard computing system that will give EO satellites the ability to process images captured on the satellite itself.2022Palantir(NYSE:PLTR),a company that builds data intelligence solutions,partnered with
116、 Satellogic(NASDAQ:SATL)to launch their first satellite with a specialized hosted payload using edge computing hardware to run Palantirs Edge Artificial Intelligence(AI)platform.This joint project allows customers to run a variety of models against an image and detect land,sea and air vehicles,build
117、ings,clouds,and terrain.The Edge AI platform also adapts the input image according to each models requirements and stores relevant inferences,allowing downstream post-processing services to use this information to generate additional outputs while sequencing multiple models in parallel.35 This shift
118、 to the edge allows customers to identify objects of interest,improve the accuracy of image segmentation,remove false positives,adjust projections based on their coordinate systems,and generate lightweight PNG thumbnails for quicker download all at the same time.InfrastructureRESOLVING THE BOTTLENEC
119、K21InfrastructureThis shift will be critical in solving the fundamentally hard problems of transforming geospatial data into insights that can then be applied to a broad set of applications across industries and technical abilities.Ground-Station and Edge-as-a-Service have fundamentally changed the
120、way geospatial solutions are built and are delivering more timely,actionable data.That is why we believe the next evolution of geospatial companies will look and feel more like developer tools and deep tech companies,focused on the power of computing and AI/ML.Mobius Labs accurately detects critical
121、 targets and removes unusable data,before ever downlinking.(Source:Mobius Labs)RESOLVING THE BOTTLENECKThe GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital 22The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital Distribution23The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital We define Distribution as the hardware and softwa
122、re to structure,process,analyze,and disseminate geospatial information.DistributionAdoption of cloud,AI/ML capabilities,and increasingly powerful APIs and SDKs are expanding use cases and adoption beyond data engineers,GIS specialists,and subject matter experts.Data fusion is beginning to provide re
123、al-time situational awareness built on automated,algorithmic analysis leveraging the benefits of multiple platforms and sensors at scale.Marketplaces are allowing geospatial demand to be quantified and used to inform what sensors and platforms are to be built.There are currently over 280 types of da
124、ta in demand across a broad customer base,with only 10-15 available today.Key TakeawaysWhile geospatial products have been around for more than 60 years,the lack of automated,machine-to-machine solutions has kept costs high and adoption low.Recent developments have helped fuel new platforms,tools,an
125、d business models that enable engineers and end-users to better utilize geospatial information.Geospatial data comes from a variety of devices that speak fundamentally different languages.Historically,making use of this information has required the collaboration of highly trained professionals inclu
126、ding data engineers,subject matter experts,and GIS specialists to create even basic reports.Constraining matters further,only 5%of data science and other engineering fields are trained in the tools to analyze geospatial data.36 The need for human intervention and specialized knowledge has kept costs
127、 high and access low.24“Spatial is a multiplier across industries and there are many datasets still waiting to be spatialized.What we need are more spatial talent and a common language or framework to foster collaboration.”John P.Wilson,Professor of Spatial Sciences,University of Southern California
128、DistributionAdditionally,new and existing end users have become accustomed to a world where they are provided timely answers to specific questions with no prerequisite knowledge.In a geospatial context,consultants have traditionally bridged this gap by helping customers navigate a fragmented GEOINT
129、ecosystem.37 However,this approach merely served as a temporary solution,during a transitional period,to accelerate adoption by reducing the technical barriers to entry.A structural change would be necessary to unlock the enormous potential of the geospatial market.The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Spac
130、e Capital 25The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital DistributionData Fusion as the FoundationThe more effectively we can merge different spatial data to create unified and uniformly accessible data,for example vector and raster,the more types of spatial relationships we can derive.This is the co
131、ncept of spatial data fusion,a way to enable new cross referencing and data visualization to provide a better understanding of a situation or problem,which wouldnt have been possible otherwise.Data fusion is not limited to the merging of data from different sources,but from different time periods as
132、 well.With an increase in the variety,capability,and number of sensors,the amount of data(optical,spectral,multispectral,LiDAR,SAR,DEM,etc.)intended to enhance decision-making and human-system performance can lead to information overload and obscure the most relevant aspects of a situation,leading t
133、o decision fatigue.Fusing raw sensor dataCo-registering and overlaying sensor outputsExtracting features/key points of interest from each sensor independently and then fusing the feature setsApplying independent algorithms to each sensor(e.g.,a target detection algorithm on each sensor individually)
134、and then fusing the algorithm(e.g.,detection)resultsImplementing change analysis that occurs on the same type of spatial data over a period of time(multitemporal data)Data fusion can address this challenge by making sense of disparate data and leading to a richer understanding with less noise by:DAT
135、A FUSION AS THE FOUNDATIONOne of the many characteristics that makes geospatial intelligence so powerful is its ability to overlay and connect multiple categories and types of information.26The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital DistributionA recent thesis by Andreas Holmberg at Ume University
136、detailed how scientists combining multispectral and radar data enables more refined analyses over broader scales than either can alone for the mapping and analysis of habitat extent,vegetation health,land use change,and plant species distributions at various scales.38 The study showed how the combin
137、ation of radars structure data and multispectral sensors reflectance data are highly complementary to improve the accuracy of assessing and monitoring biodiversity at scale.A commercial example of data fusion is provided by Planet,who recently implemented a methodology to“enhance,harmonize,inter-cal
138、ibrate,and fuse cross-sensor data streams”for a variety of use cases.The companys Fusion Monitoring platform combines daily,global optical imagery with additional data sets to deliver a consistent stream of information about a customers area of interest.Planet then merges SAR data39 into the fusion
139、line,providing improved sensing to customers,particularly those in the agricultural sector.This additional data stream boosts the reliability of agronomic models that consume fusion data,especially in very cloudy regions where SAR data has the advantage of imaging through clouds and weather that obs
140、cure optical data.Through this fusion technique,Planet offers superior continuous monitoring of crop health and captures key events like harvesting or the effects of storm damage.This image below shows three image tiles of Planets quality assurance product that are built with fusion technique.The la
141、yer in the middle was fused together with ten different captured orthoimagery(satellite images that are geometrically corrected)and the images on the sides were fused together with scene data with different spectral bands.Planet Labs fusion quality assurance product layers(Source:Planet Labs)Data fu
142、sion can produce new insights that are indistinguishable with a single type of sensing.DATA FUSION AS THE FOUNDATION27The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital DistributionTrimbles accurate geospatial solutions can help farmers build out autonomous land preparation,planting and seeding,implementin
143、g control,input management,and harvesting tools.Fusing data provides real-time situational awareness that requires accuracy,consistency,and reliability.The migration to the cloud is helping to address these needs and build automated,algorithmic analysis from multiple platforms and sensors at scale.C
144、anopy changes observed through different data types on Trimbles eCognition software(Source:LiDAR Magazine)Trimble,an industry leader in geospatial tools,made their name by providing a wide variety of advanced GPS receiver systems to help improve efficiencies in surveying,measuring,monitoring,calibra
145、tions,and data fusion is a core feature inside many of their software solutions.In a geospatial analysis solution buildout,the separate steps in image interpretation like object creation,object classification,object detection,and objection modification benefit greatly from looking at a combination o
146、f different data sources.Trimbles eCognition software was developed with this specific understanding in mind.In order to further distill meaning from the data observation when segmenting and classifying physical semantics,eCognition examines the imagery as both pixels and contexts and includes lever
147、aging all relevant input data such as color,shape,texture,size of the object and its surrounding environment,which comes in different data types such as spectral raster data,3D point cloud data,and thematic data from vector layers.The image below shows how Trimbles software helps bring thermal imagi
148、ng and 3D point cloud data into one place to help scientists understand canopy changes dynamically over time.“One of the things that can take our GPS system to the next level is combining multiple technologies together,we are now bringing multi constellation GNSS receivers with IMU,looking closer to
149、 photogrammetry,visual odometry,all of these technologies are coming together to make it so surveyors can always get position information wherever they are working at.”Ron Bisio,Senior Vice President of Geospatial,TrimbleDATA FUSION AS THE FOUNDATION28The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital Dist
150、ributionAs-a-service ParadigmThis began in the late 1990s with efforts to develop shared infrastructure that would reduce capital expenditure.Since then,Big Tech companies have realized the value of hosting geospatial data on their cloud and,as an outcome,have taken strides to make it easier for com
151、panies to host,process,analyze,and visualize these heavy datasets.While developed back in the 1990s,cloud computing did not achieve broad adoption until 2006 when companies like Google began to use this term to describe the new paradigm of processing40 and Amazon launched Amazon Web Services.41 Anot
152、her decade would pass before cloud service providers like Amazon reached an inflection point,growing from$4.6 billion in 2014 to$25.7 billion in revenues in 2018.42 While many technology companies were quick to see the promise of this new architecture,the Satellite industry was slow to adopt.The hes
153、itancy to move from on-prem to the cloud was predominantly driven by data providers challenges associated with the technical migration.More specifically,an uncertainty about how to 1)migrate existing workloads to the cloud,2)unwillingness to walk away from the preexisting investment into costly infr
154、astructure equipment,3)security concerns about hosting sensitive customer data,and 4)federal customers refusing to have their imagery hosted.43 That is why when,in 2017,DigitalGlobe migrated its entire catalog of imagery to AWS-100 PB-it effectively set a new standard for the wider remote sensing in
155、dustry to evolve from large file-transfer protocols and delivery workflows to a cloud-first storage and analytics infrastructure.44DigitalGlobe moves to the cloud with AWS Snowmobile.(Source:MAXAR)The exponential growth in geospatial data has driven the need for new ways to process,transform,and ana
156、lyze information,which has resulted in a shift to the“as-a-service”paradigm.AS-A-SERVICE PARADIGM29The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital DistributionCloud-as-a-ServiceIn recent years,cloud computing has become an integral component in the management of geospatial data.According to NSR,a satell
157、ite and space market research and consulting firm,486 PB(petabytes)of raw satellite imagery will need to be downlinked to Cloud servers over the next 10 years.45 As mentioned in the Infrastructure section,one way companies are evolving to meet the deluge of data is moving processing to the edge.A se
158、condary effect is Big Tech companies are releasing additional products and features specifically for geospatial use cases.CompanyDateMilestone2018With Google Cloud,companies can establish more secure,reliable and scalable systems and save time on the development process using its automated code mana
159、gement and deployment tools that are tightly integrated with other essential services.Google Earth and Google Maps have also expanded their cloud services offerings by integrating directly with Google Cloud.This has led to the tech giant bundling products together in order to create a platform for g
160、eospatial developers.2020AWS is establishing a new unit called Aerospace and Satellite Solutions,led by former U.S.Air Force Maj.Gen.Clint Crosier who most recently directed the establishment of the U.S.This new department seeks to offer a wide array of cloud services that can enable high-performanc
161、e computing,otherwise known as,the provision of high-throughput capabilities for digital modeling and simulation.2020Azure Space is a new platform for space operators that promotes“ubiquitous connectivity,space data and AI,and developer tools.”The service aims to help Microsoft,along with government
162、s,scientists,enterprises,and other stakeholders access to a multi-petabyte catalog of analysis-ready global environmental data,geospatial APIs,and a flexible development environment to meet sustainability commitments by 2030.2021IBM Cloud Satellite is a hybrid cloud services architecture that promot
163、es a“layer of cloud services for clients across environments,regardless of where their data resides.”46 This offering is an extension of the IBM Public Cloud as each cloud satellite location hosts an instance of the IBM public cloud with the flexibility to“deploy and run apps across on-premises,edge
164、 computing and public cloud environments from any cloud vendor.”AS-A-SERVICE PARADIGM30The GEOINT Playbook|Report by Space Capital Technical wireframe that shows how using Amazon SageMaker improved DigitalGlobes cache by more than a factor of two,allowing them to cut their cloud storage cost in half
165、.(Source:Amazon AWS)Deployment of an Azure Orbital Ground Station at Quincy Data center in Washington.(Source:Azure)DistributionAs the shift to the cloud continues,geospatial stakeholders have started to identify patterns across technical reference architectures for geospatial tooling,like processin
166、g pipelines and geospatial platforms,as well as broader market trends in the push to host this data.In tandem,we are seeing a swell of changes in how geospatial practitioners leverage AI/ML to build on the foundational innovations across ground-stations,edge processing,and cloud infrastructure.47 AS
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