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1、Private market equity investment activity and startup trends in the space economy from the investors at the forefrontSpace Investment QuarterlyQ3 20222022Q3Front cover image courtesy of iM.Apple is taking most of Globalstars network for its new satellite feature.Space Capital 2022Expectations for Q3
2、 were high with hopes that the Fed would tame inflation and investors would get back to deploying capital,neither of which occurred.Economists were forecasting the U.S.Headline Consumer Price Index(CPI)for August to slow to 8.1%YoY from 8.5%in July,signaling a June peak.Instead,Headline CPI rose wit
3、h stubbornly high rents and food prices driving Core CPI(excludes volatile prices)up 0.6%to 6.3%YoY.The Federal Reserve responded in September with another 75 Bps rate increase resulting in the fastest rate hike cycle since 1988,which is putting pressure on both equity and debt markets,both broadly
4、ending down for the quarter.And these macroeconomic factors directly impact venture capital and private markets.As legendary venture investor Bill Gurley said,“Silicon Valley is more correlated with Nasdaq than anyone admits.”While venture fundraising set a new annual record with$151 billion closed
5、through September and nearly$300 billion of dry powder on the sidelines,many expected that VCs would come back after Labor Day.Anecdotally,from the front lines,valuations are normalizing and we are beginning to see deal activity ramp up.However,thats not yet showing up in the data.Pitchbook shows fe
6、wer deals closing in Q3 when compared to 2021 and less total capital deployed.This can be explained in part by a greater focus on diligence and price control as VCs shift away from pure momentum investing.This risk-off environment has meant that VCs are refocusing on enterprise SaaS and deep tech is
7、 feeling the pain as investments decrease across quantum,robotics,and space in Q3 VC investment volume in space was down 44%vs the broader market 31%.However,investors can be irrational and markets tend to overcorrect.What might get lost in the noise is that space technologies are playing an increas
8、ingly important role in the global economy.For example,with the iPhone 14 launch,Apple announced its partnership with Globalstar to provide emergency communication services to its one billion users.While this service will only offer text messaging to start,this initial step to integrate SatCom into
9、mobile devices has significant implications.Apple is no stranger to innovating with satellite capabilities.In The GPS Playbook,we explore how Apples integration of GPS into the iPhone 3G helped fuel the rise of Location-based services and companies like Uber,Lyft,Root,and Snap.Apple wasnt alone in W
10、elcome to the Q3 2022 edition of the Space Investment Quarterly.Unique CompaniesQ3 InvestmentQ3 Number of CompaniesReceiving InvestmentCumulative Private Market Equity Investment3$267.9B1,753$3.4B79their SatCom announcement this quarter.T-mobile and SpaceX also announced plans to bring persistent ub
11、iquitous coverage to U.S.customers using Starlink to provide satellite-to-cellular service.In response,AT&Ts CEO claimed to have an 18 month head start,but is being first going to be the deciding factor?Its worth remembering that launch incumbents had a multi-decade lead on SpaceX.Regardless of who
12、comes out on top,this convergence of terrestrial and satellite communications networks provides tremendous opportunity to rethink how our data is captured,routed,stored,and utilized.The SatCom Playbook unpacks the innovations driving these changes and what it could mean for our day-to-day lives.Addi
13、tionally,record revenues for remote sensing companies are demonstrating how the space economy is both countercyclical and resilient to macro market conditions(despite volatile stock prices).In September,Planet($PL)announced a 59%increase in fiscal year Q2 revenue YoY with net dollar retention of 125
14、%.This performance was driven by growth in both government and enterprise customers,whose operations rely on critical data and insights from satellites.According to Fortune Business Insights,the global geospatial market is expected to grow from$63 billion to$148 billion in the next five years.The ab
15、ility to collect,process,and analyze endless amounts of geospatial data is creating powerful new applications that are helping to reshape how the largest global industries operate and transforming our relationship with our planet.Overall,we expect the macro environment will continue to disproportion
16、ately affect funding across deep tech,including space Infrastructure.Companies with high upfront CapEx,including Launch and Emerging Industries,are likely to be the most impacted over the next few years.Companies providing data,insights,and critical services to enterprises and governments will be be
17、tter positioned to grow revenues in the near-term and have a higher likelihood of raising large growth rounds in a more selective market environment.Over time,as the markets begin to differentiate,we believe the value of deep technical expertise and strong fundamentals will be rewarded and our firm
18、continues to invest accordingly.It is not enough merely to identify a market opportunity,you also need the category knowledge and experience to pick the winners.Q3 2022 Rise of the Space Startups$30 B400$50 B$40 B600700$20 B$10 B300500CUMULATIVE PRIVATE MARKET EQUITY INVESTMENT FROM 2013 TO PRESENT4
19、2%24%14%5%6%8%SeedSeries ASeries BOther4Late Stage3Series CTotal investment YTD declined by 47%vs Q3 2021,while early-stage investments have increased 24%over that same period.This gap in large late-stage funding may be the result of fewer crossover investors participating in venture rounds.Investme
20、nts in SpaceX accounted for 39%of the capital deployed across the top 10 rounds.Total rounds YTD declined by 26%vs Q3 2021.A total of 215 early-stage rounds have closed YTD,with top 10 early-stage rounds accounting for$0.6B,or 30%of the total investment.Early-stage Infrastructure round activity was
21、flat compared to last year,while Distribution and Applications fell by 30%and 37%,respectively.The total investment declined QoQ by 44%.Early-stage Infrastructure and Distribution investments increased 104%and 141%vs YTD vs Q3 2021,respectively.Early-stage Applications investments have fallen 33%ove
22、r the same period.This may reflect investor preference for more stable enterprise and government customers.BY STAGE INVESTMENT AMOUNTBY STAGE ROUND SHARE$17.2B$214M215323Year to DateBY LAYER INVESTMENT AMOUNT AND DEALS BY QUARTERInfrastructureDistributionApplicationsDeal CountPRIVATE MARKET EQUITY I
23、NVESTMENT541.“Other”consists of countries each representing less than 1%of funding.EARLY-STAGE INVESTMENT2EARLY-STAGE ROUNDSNUMBER OF ROUNDSNUMBER OF ROUNDS IN Q3InfrastructureNumber of RoundsDistributionApplications2022201320142015201620172018201920202021PRIOR79TOTAL INVESTMENT BY GEOGRAPHYTOTAL IN
24、VESTMENT BY INDUSTRYTOTAL INVESTMENT BY LAYERANNUAL INVESTMENT BY LAYERSeedSeries ASeries BSeries CLate Stage3Other4$5 B$10 B$0SingaporeEmerging IndustriesCanadaOther1ChinaLaunchIndiaFranceUSASatellitesUK2.Early-stage consists of Pre-Seed,Seed,and Series A rounds.3.Late-stage consists of Series D+an
25、d Liquidity Rounds.4.Other includes non-traditional investments and self-capitalization from Jeff Bezos,Elon Musk,Richard Branson,and Robert Bigelow who are classified as Individual investors providing large investments(hundreds of millions)in their own companies through unclassified rounds.SpaceX l
26、aunches crew mission,ushers in commercial spaceflight1978NAVSTAR I GPS launched1984First Commercial GPS Receivers2001gpsOne supports launch of GPS on mobile devices2005Google Maps launched2009SpaceX first successful commercial launch2008iPhone 3G equipped with GPSUber reaches 1M daily users and expa
27、nds to over 250 citiesSpaceX lands orbital booster,ushers in reusabilityPlanet Labs images entireEarth dailyIndonesia76%3%21%$10 B$5 B$002022 Q12022 Q22022 Q32021 Q32021 Q41501005030%47%88%5%4%3%2%1%1%1%7%11%$236.9B$28.0B$3.1BInfrastructureDistribution$8.6B$54.8BApplications$204.5BAn additional$2.0B
28、 was invested in Launch during Q3,bringing the cumulative investment in the industry to$28.0B over the past decade,of which SpaceX accounted for 38%.$0.4B was invested in Satellites in Q3,bringing the ten year total to$23.7B with 50%invested in Communications and 28%in Earth Observation sectors.If y
29、ou consider the trend that Launch providers are increasingly valued by their Satellite services,total investments to Satellites would be much larger.InfrastructureANNUAL INVESTMENT SOURCEBY SECTOR6 CUMULATIVE INVESTMENT AMOUNTCUMULATIVE INVESTMENT GEOGRAPHYBY SECTOR CUMULATIVE ROUND SHARE$5 BAngel/I
30、ndividualVenture CapitalCorporateOther567%14%8%5%1%2%3%USAUKChinaFranceJapanCanadaOther1$10 B$15 BInfrastructure investment during Q3 was$2.5B,largely driven by late-stage and large growth rounds in SpaceX($1.9B Series R),GalaxySpace($150M Series B),SpinLaunch($71M Series C),and Skyroot($50M Series
31、B).Venture investors accounted for 76%of the quarters total Infrastructure investments and are one pace to exceed their previous annual high water mark set in 2021.Other investor activity including corporates,angels,and other investors(hedge and mutual funds)was marginal.Since 2013,the United States
32、 has led global investment in Infrastructure,representing 67%of the total.The U.K.remained in second place with 14%driven almost entirely by investments in OneWeb.China represented 8%with an increasing pace of investments in small launch and manufacturing/component companies.Chinas latest focus on s
33、atellite communications is expected to continue to accelerate the pace and size of the countrys investments.Satellites accounted for the majority of deal activity with 56%of total round share since 2013.Within Satellites,Manufacturing&Components,and Earth Observation sectors account for a combined 7
34、7%of total round activity.Small Launch continued to account for the majority of rounds within Launch,with 78%of the total round activity.If you consider the trend that Small Launch providers are increasingly focused on larger vehicles,then total round share would look more balanced between Small,Med
35、ium,and Heavy Launch.In Q3,investments in Launch and Satellites continued to be concentrated in late-stage rounds,reflecting the capital intensity of those industries.Since 2013,71%of this investment has gone to late-stage and other rounds.Over the same period,early-stage companies received just 11%
36、of capital,or$6.2B.This has attracted 1.6x more follow-on funding in Growth Stage rounds($9.8B)and 6.2x more investments in late-stage and other rounds($38.5B).The top 10 deals in Q3 totaled$2.4B,representing 95%of total Infrastructure investment for the quarter.SpaceX alone accounted for 81%of the
37、total as the only late stage company on the list.U.S.companies continued to dominate with six companies making the top 10.The presence of two Chinese companies and one Indian company reflect the growing competition from Asia.Investors realized$0.2B through three Infrastructure exits in Q3 driven by
38、the acquisition of AXESS Networks Solutions by Hispasat,Dytran Instruments by Spectris,and Masten Space Systems by Astrobotic.Acquisitions represent the majority of Infrastructure exits over the past decade at 64%.Early-stage rounds have accounted for 74%of total equity rounds over the past decade.T
39、he pipeline has begun to shift away from Small Launch and towards Earth Observation and Communication Satellites,particularly focused on SAR,RF,hyperspectral,and IoT capabilities.The pandemic and international tensions have exposed the global vulnerabilities in manufacturing and supply chain.As such
40、,early-stage funding for manufacturing has exceeded the 2021 total by 33%,led by San Francisco-based company Hadrian.$5 B$15 B$20 B$10 B$0 BSeedSeries ASeries BSeries COther4Late Stage3BY STAGE CUMULATIVE INVESTMENT AMOUNT TOP DEALS IN THE QUARTEREXITS BY SECTORBY STAGE CUMULATIVE ROUND SHARECOMPANY
41、ROUNDAMOUNTSpaceXSeries R$1,900 M GalaxySpaceSeries B$150 MSpinlaunchSeries B$71 MSkyrootSeries B$51 MAlbedoSeries A$50 MiStar Space TechnologySeries B$44 MMorpheus SpaceSeries A$28 MPixxelSeries A$28 MPenumbra SpaceSeries A$20 MXona Space SystemsSeries A$15 MSeedSeries ASeries BSeries CLate Stage3O
42、ther456%18%9%4%3%10%2013201420152016201720182019202020212022765.“Other”includes Foundations,Private Equity,Sovereign Wealth Funds,Mutual Funds,Crowd Platforms.6.See Unpacking the Emerging Industries blog post$54.8BTOTAL EQUITY INVESTMENT SINCE 20132001000IndustrialsStationsLaunchLogisticsSatellitesN
43、umber of RoundsNumber of Rounds$0$30 B$20 B$10 B$40 B3020102013201420152016201720182019202020212022Hardware and software to build,launch,and operate space-based assets$0Emerging IndustriesMore on pg 8-9$10 B$30 B$20 B$0LaunchSatellitesStationsLunarIndustrialsSatellites755 roundsLaunch325 roundsManuf
44、acturing&Components394 roundsCommunications142 roundsEarth Observation190 roundsSmall Launch252 roundsHeavy Launch40 roundsMedium Launch26 roundsLaunch Brokerage6 roundsSpaceport Operations1 roundsPositioning,Navigation,Timing 29 roundsIndustrials 68 roundsStations 70 roundsLogistics 75 roundsLunar
45、64 roundsLogisticsANNUAL INVESTMENT SOURCEBY SECTOR6 CUMULATIVE INVESTMENT AMOUNTCUMULATIVE INVESTMENT GEOGRAPHYBY SECTOR CUMULATIVE ROUND SHARE76%17%2%1%1%3%USAJapanCanadaItalyOther1Finland$0$1.5 B$1.0 B$0.5 BOver the past ten years,$3.1B was invested into Emerging industries with 2021 setting a re
46、cord at$1.4B or 45%of the cumulative total.Venture Capital investors contributed 45%of the total investment with$1.4B.Q3 figures suggest a revision back to the average with$206M invested YTD.Like Infrastructure,the United States has led global investments in Emerging Industries,representing 76%of to
47、tal equity investment deployed.Japan came in second with 17%driven by investments in Astroscale,ispace and GITAI.Canada and Italy followed behind with investments concentrated in two companies,NorthStar Earth and Space and D-Orbit.Investments have primarily focused on three sectors-Stations($1.1B),L
48、ogistics($810M),and Lunar($781M).Drilling down a layer deeper,the leading verticals within each sector were Habitats($981M),Transport($390M)and Debris Mitigation($359M).The top-funded companies within them are space station company Vast(Habitats),ispace(Transport)and Astroscale(Debris Mitigation).Lo
49、gistics accounted for the most deal activity with 27%of total round share since 2013 and On Orbit Servicing is the most active vertical with 22 rounds.In 2021,the number of Logistics deals increased by 75%YoY and Space Situational Awareness funding increased nearly 12x YoY.Within Stations,Habitats h
50、ad fewer total rounds than Services but accounted for 6x the investments,likely due to the capital intensity of this work.In 2022,Space Situational Awareness led with 7 rounds,representing 22%of the total rounds YTD.The relatively even distribution of capital across stages reflects the infancy of th
51、ese industries with 25%of the investments concentrated in early-stage rounds.In Q3,$52M was invested,representing a 47%decrease in QoQ from$99M in Q2.It is unclear whether sufficient growth capital exists to scale companies across these emerging industries in the near term as the markets will likely
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